Sport Picks
Mohammedan vs Arambagh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bangladesh
BFL Rafiq Uddin Bhuiyan Stadium, Mymensingh 
AI Match Summary
Mohammedan host Arambagh in the BFL. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Arambagh have shipped 1.83 goals a game lately, while Mohammedan have conceded 1.04 and scored 1.86. Past meetings favor Mohammedan slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 6, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 0.75) point toward Mohammedan. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Arambagh haven't matched Mohammedan's recent run of results.
- Mohammedan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Mohammedan have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mohammedan | Arambagh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 4 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 0.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arambagh let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Mohammedan scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Mohammedan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Mohammedan
(Home)Arambagh
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bangladesh Police | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Fortis | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Abahani Limited Dhaka | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 |
| 4 | City Club | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 4 |
| 5 | Mohammedan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Fakirerpool YMC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 7 | Arambagh | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 8 | PWD Sports Club | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 9 | Bashundara Kings | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 | Rahmatgonj MFS | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 11 | Brothers U. | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | 1 |
| 12 | Dhaka Wanderers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 13 | Chattogram | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:9 | 0 |
