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Mohammedan vs Chittagong Abahani Limited Prediction & H2H Stats

Bangladesh Bangladesh

Premier League 2024/2025 Rafiq Uddin Bhuiyan Stadium, Mymensingh
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Diabate S.
Assist: Morillo E.
45' Event
Sunday E.
Assist: Ballu M.
46'
Sub
Rabbi F. In: Sumon R.
Out: Rabbi F.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2024/2025 game between Mohammedan and Chittagong Abahani Limited finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mohammedan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Mohammedan
15%
Draws
0%
Chittagong Abahani Limited
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mohammedan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mohammedan come out ahead of Chittagong Abahani Limited on wins alone.
  • Model gives Mohammedan a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Mohammedan Clean Sheet 68%
Chittagong Abahani Limited Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohammedan Chittagong Abahani Limited
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 3
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 23
Goals Scored 2.15 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.15 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2025 BFL
Mohammedan vs Chittagong Abahani Limited
4:1
Jan 4, 2025 BFL
Chittagong Abahani Limited vs Mohammedan
1:5
Dec 24, 2024 Federation Cup
Chittagong Abahani Limited vs Mohammedan
0:6
May 3, 2024 BFL
Chittagong Abahani Limited vs Mohammedan
1:1
Jan 26, 2024 BFL
Mohammedan vs Chittagong Abahani Limited
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mohammedan Compare

Top Goalscorer Sunday E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diabate S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Chittagong Abahani Limited Compare

Top Goalscorer Sumon R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohammedan 95 / 100
Chittagong Abahani Limited 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohammedan Chittagong Abahani Limited

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohammedan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mohammedan found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (33 games).

Chittagong Abahani Limited has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Chittagong Abahani Limited has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mohammedan VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohammedan

(Home)
02 Oct
Fakirerpool YMC
0 : 1
Mohammedan
23 May
Mohammedan
5 : 0
Brothers U.
20 May
Bashundara Kings
3 : 2
Mohammedan
15 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
1 : 0
Mohammedan
12 May
Brothers U.
1 : 2
Mohammedan
Page 1 of 7

Chittagong Abahani Limited

(Away)
29 May
Chittagong Abahani Limited
0 : 4
Fortis
24 May
Bangladesh Police
2 : 1
Chittagong Abahani Limited
21 May
Abahani Limited Dhaka
5 : 0
Chittagong Abahani Limited
16 May
Mohammedan
4 : 1
Chittagong Abahani Limited
09 May
Chittagong Abahani Limited
1 : 2
Dhaka Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mohammedan 18 13 3 2 46:16 42
2 Abahani Limited Dhaka 18 10 5 3 31:8 35
3 Bashundara Kings 18 9 5 4 45:15 32
4 Rahmatgonj MFS 18 9 3 6 39:25 30
5 Brothers U. 18 7 6 5 28:18 27
6 Fortis 18 6 9 3 24:15 27
7 Bangladesh Police 18 8 3 7 24:25 27
8 Fakirerpool YMC 18 6 1 11 23:54 19
9 Dhaka Wanderers 18 3 1 14 14:55 10
10 Chittagong Abahani Limited 18 1 0 17 7:50 3
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