Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mohammedan vs East Bengal

India India

IFA Shield Kishore Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata
Tue, Sep 22, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mohammedan host East Bengal in the IFA Shield. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Mohammedan at 1.3 goals for, 1.83 against; East Bengal at 2.58 for, 0.64 against. Past meetings favor East Bengal slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 22, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.56, favoring East Bengal. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Mohammedan
35%
Draws
32%
East Bengal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • East Bengal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on East Bengal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mohammedan Clean Sheet 15%
East Bengal Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohammedan East Bengal
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 8 24
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 2
Goals Scored 1.3 2.58
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 IFA Shield
Mohammedan vs East Bengal
0:0
Sep 14, 2026 Calcutta Premier Division
East Bengal vs Mohammedan
1:1
Mar 23, 2026 ISL
East Bengal vs Mohammedan
7:0
Feb 16, 2025 ISL
Mohammedan vs East Bengal
1:3
Nov 9, 2024 ISL
East Bengal vs Mohammedan
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohammedan 15 / 100
East Bengal 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohammedan East Bengal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick East Bengal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mohammedan scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Mohammedan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

East Bengal has conceded goals in 50% of their last 36 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mohammedan VS East Bengal
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohammedan

(Home)
19 Sept
Mohun Bagan U23
3 : 2
Mohammedan
14 Sept
East Bengal
1 : 1
Mohammedan
11 Sept
Mohammedan
2 : 0
Bhawanipore
04 Sept
Peerless
2 : 0
Mohammedan
31 Aug
Kalighat SL
1 : 2
Mohammedan
Page 1 of 6

East Bengal

(Away)
19 Sept
Coal India
0 : 7
East Bengal
16 Sept
Al Hussein
2 : 2
East Bengal
14 Sept
East Bengal
1 : 1
Mohammedan
11 Sept
United SC
0 : 0
East Bengal
07 Sept
East Bengal
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan U23
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Minerva Punjab 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Calcutta Customs 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
4 Mohammedan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - IFA Shield (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mohun Bagan 1 1 0 0 6:0 3
2 North East United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Sreenidi Deccan 1 0 0 1 0:6 0
Promotion - IFA Shield (Play Offs)