Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mohammedan vs Fortis

Bangladesh Bangladesh

BFL Rafiq Uddin Bhuiyan Stadium, Mymensingh
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Jallow E.
25'
Okafor O.
51'
Hasan Shanta M. J.

AI Match Summary

The BFL game between Mohammedan and Fortis finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fortis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Mohammedan
15%
Draws
50%
Fortis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fortis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fortis come out ahead of Mohammedan on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Mohammedan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Mohammedan Clean Sheet 16%
Fortis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohammedan Fortis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 9 11
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.97 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 BFL
Mohammedan vs Fortis
1:2
Dec 2, 2025 Federation Cup
Fortis vs Mohammedan
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 BFL
Fortis vs Mohammedan
2:0
May 9, 2025 BFL
Fortis vs Mohammedan
1:1
Dec 27, 2024 BFL
Mohammedan vs Fortis
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mohammedan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Fortis Compare

Top Goalscorer Jallow E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohammedan 41 / 100
Fortis 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohammedan Fortis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mohammedan scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Mohammedan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Fortis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mohammedan VS Fortis
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohammedan

(Home)
23 May
Mohammedan
5 : 0
Brothers U.
20 May
Bashundara Kings
3 : 2
Mohammedan
15 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
1 : 0
Mohammedan
12 May
Brothers U.
1 : 2
Mohammedan
09 May
Arambagh
0 : 2
Mohammedan
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Fortis

(Away)
11 Aug
Fortis
1 : 0
Muras United
23 May
PWD Sports Club
2 : 2
Fortis
15 May
Fortis
2 : 0
Brothers U.
08 May
Fakirerpool YMC
1 : 7
Fortis
01 May
Fortis
3 : 2
Rahmatgonj MFS
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