Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mohammedan vs Minerva Punjab Prediction & H2H Stats

India India

IFA Shield Kishore Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata
Fri, Sep 25, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mohammedan host Minerva Punjab in the IFA Shield. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Minerva Punjab have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Mohammedan have conceded 1.83 and scored 1.3. Past meetings favor Minerva Punjab slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 25, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.60 - 1.67) back Minerva Punjab to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Mohammedan
20%
Draws
47%
Minerva Punjab
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Minerva Punjab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Minerva Punjab carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Minerva Punjab's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mohammedan Clean Sheet 13%
Minerva Punjab Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohammedan Minerva Punjab
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.3 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.83 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 IFA Shield
Mohammedan vs Minerva Punjab
0:0
Apr 3, 2026 ISL
Minerva Punjab vs Mohammedan
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Super Cup
Mohammedan vs Minerva Punjab
0:3
Mar 10, 2025 ISL
Mohammedan vs Minerva Punjab
2:2
Dec 6, 2024 ISL
Minerva Punjab vs Mohammedan
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohammedan 19 / 100
Minerva Punjab 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohammedan Minerva Punjab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minerva Punjab Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mohammedan found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Minerva Punjab conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Mohammedan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mohammedan VS Minerva Punjab
2 Goals Scored 2.33
1 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 33%
50% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohammedan

(Home)
19 Sept
Mohun Bagan U23
3 : 2
Mohammedan
14 Sept
East Bengal
1 : 1
Mohammedan
11 Sept
Mohammedan
2 : 0
Bhawanipore
04 Sept
Peerless
2 : 0
Mohammedan
31 Aug
Kalighat SL
1 : 2
Mohammedan
Page 1 of 6

Minerva Punjab

(Away)
27 Sept
Calcutta Customs
0 : 7
Minerva Punjab
21 May
Minerva Punjab
0 : 2
Mumbai City
16 May
Odisha FC
2 : 3
Minerva Punjab
11 May
East Bengal
0 : 0
Minerva Punjab
06 May
Minerva Punjab
1 : 0
Chennaiyin FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Minerva Punjab 2 2 0 0 8:0 6
2 East Bengal 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
3 Calcutta Customs 2 0 0 2 1:10 0
4 Mohammedan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - IFA Shield (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mohun Bagan 2 1 1 0 7:1 4
2 North East United 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 Sreenidi Deccan 2 0 0 2 0:9 0
Promotion - IFA Shield (Play Offs)