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Mohammedan vs Mumbai City Prediction & H2H Stats

India India

ISL 2025/2026 Kishore Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Panwar S.
Assist: Zothanpuia Z.
8' Event
Zothanpuia Z.
Assist: Ortiz M. J.
25' Event
Parray S.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Mumbai City in this ISL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mumbai City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mohammedan
20%
Draws
40%
Mumbai City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Mumbai City have won more games recently than Mohammedan.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular ISL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mumbai City here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Mohammedan Clean Sheet 16%
Mumbai City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohammedan Mumbai City
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.19 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.81 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 ISL
Mohammedan vs Mumbai City
0:4
Jan 26, 2025 ISL
Mumbai City vs Mohammedan
3:0
Dec 15, 2024 ISL
Mohammedan vs Mumbai City
0:1
Aug 5, 2023 Durand Cup
Mohammedan vs Mumbai City
1:3
Sep 14, 2022 Durand Cup
Mohammedan vs Mumbai City
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mohammedan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Mumbai City Compare

Top Goalscorer Panwar S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zothanpuia Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohammedan 31 / 100
Mumbai City 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohammedan Mumbai City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mumbai City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mohammedan found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mohammedan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Mumbai City has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mohammedan VS Mumbai City
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohammedan

(Home)
19 Sept
Mohun Bagan U23
3 : 2
Mohammedan
14 Sept
East Bengal
1 : 1
Mohammedan
11 Sept
Mohammedan
2 : 0
Bhawanipore
04 Sept
Peerless
2 : 0
Mohammedan
31 Aug
Kalighat SL
1 : 2
Mohammedan
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Mumbai City

(Away)
21 May
Minerva Punjab
0 : 2
Mumbai City
15 May
Mohammedan
0 : 4
Mumbai City
05 May
Mumbai City
1 : 2
East Bengal
25 Apr
Bengaluru FC
0 : 0
Mumbai City
18 Apr
FC Goa
2 : 0
Mumbai City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 13 7 5 1 30:11 26
2 Mohun Bagan 13 7 5 1 23:9 26
3 Mumbai City 13 7 4 2 17:9 25
4 Bengaluru FC 13 6 5 2 18:12 23
5 Jamshedpur 13 6 4 3 15:10 22
6 Minerva Punjab 13 6 4 3 18:12 22
7 FC Goa 13 5 5 3 15:11 20
8 Kerala Blasters 13 5 2 6 15:17 17
9 North East United 13 4 4 5 16:21 16
10 Inter Kashi 13 3 4 6 11:17 13
11 Odisha FC 13 2 5 6 14:22 11
12 SC Delhi 13 2 5 6 13:17 11
13 Chennaiyin FC 13 2 3 8 9:21 9
14 Mohammedan 13 0 3 10 7:32 3
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)