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Mohelnice vs Brodek u Prerova

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Olomoucky KP 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mohelnice play Brodek u Prerova in the Olomoucky KP 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mohelnice averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Brodek u Prerova averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Mohelnice won 1, Brodek u Prerova won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Mohelnice and 2.50 for Brodek u Prerova. This points to a Mohelnice double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Mohelnice
25%
Draws
37%
Brodek u Prerova
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Mohelnice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Mohelnice picked up more points recently compared to Brodek u Prerova.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 2.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Mohelnice Clean Sheet 10%
Brodek u Prerova Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohelnice Brodek u Prerova
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 3 8
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.7 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Olomoucky KP
Mohelnice vs Brodek u Prerova
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 Olomoucky KP
Brodek u Prerova vs Mohelnice
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Olomoucky KP
Mohelnice vs Brodek u Prerova
0:3
Aug 25, 2024 Olomoucky KP
Brodek u Prerova vs Mohelnice
1:3
Apr 28, 2024 Olomoucky KP
Brodek u Prerova vs Mohelnice
5:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohelnice 36 / 100
Brodek u Prerova 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohelnice Brodek u Prerova

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mohelnice or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mohelnice attacking → ← attacking Brodek u Prerova

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mohelnice scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Brodek u Prerova let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Mohelnice went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Brodek u Prerova lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 38
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63