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Mohelnice vs Velka Bystrice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Olomoucky KP
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mohelnice host Velka Bystrice in the Olomoucky KP. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Mohelnice at 1.59 goals for, 2.1 against; Velka Bystrice at 3.28 for, 1.45 against. Past meetings favor Velka Bystrice slightly — 1-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 5:2. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 2.50) point toward Velka Bystrice. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mohelnice
20%
Draws
52%
Velka Bystrice
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Velka Bystrice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Mohelnice haven't matched Velka Bystrice's recent run of results.
  • Velka Bystrice are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Velka Bystrice have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Mohelnice Clean Sheet 10%
Velka Bystrice Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohelnice Velka Bystrice
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 17
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.59 3.28
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Olomoucky KP
Mohelnice vs Velka Bystrice
5:2
Oct 12, 2025 Olomoucky KP
Velka Bystrice vs Mohelnice
2:0
May 3, 2025 Olomoucky KP
Mohelnice vs Velka Bystrice
1:2
Sep 29, 2024 Olomoucky KP
Velka Bystrice vs Mohelnice
8:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohelnice 18 / 100
Velka Bystrice 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohelnice Velka Bystrice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Velka Bystrice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.25 goals per match.

Mohelnice scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Velka Bystrice's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Mohelnice has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mohelnice VS Velka Bystrice
1.5 Goals Scored 3.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohelnice

(Home)
03 Oct
Mohelnice
2 : 0
Velke Losiny
25 Sept
Postrelmov
1 : 1
Mohelnice
19 Sept
Mohelnice
4 : 1
Lostice
12 Sept
Mohelnice
1 : 2
Brodek u Prerova
05 Sept
Prerov
2 : 0
Mohelnice
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Velka Bystrice

(Away)
04 Oct
Unicov B
1 : 3
Velka Bystrice
27 Sept
Velka Bystrice
7 : 0
Jesenik
19 Sept
Rapotin
0 : 2
Velka Bystrice
13 Sept
Velka Bystrice
1 : 1
Belotin
05 Sept
Olesnice u Bouzova
0 : 6
Velka Bystrice
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