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Mohun Bagan U23 vs Mohammedan Prediction & H2H Stats

India India

Calcutta Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Samad S.
43' Event
Lalremsanga
60'
Ghosh D.

AI Match Summary

Mohun Bagan U23 in this Calcutta Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mohun Bagan U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Mohun Bagan U23
30%
Draws
27%
Mohammedan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mohun Bagan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mohun Bagan U23 lately — more wins on the board than Mohammedan.
  • Mohun Bagan U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mohun Bagan U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Mohammedan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohun Bagan U23 Mohammedan
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.03 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Calcutta Premier Division
Mohun Bagan U23 vs Mohammedan
3:2
Sep 29, 2023 Calcutta Premier Division
Mohammedan vs Mohun Bagan U23
2:0
Sep 14, 2023 Calcutta Premier Division
Mohun Bagan U23 vs Mohammedan
2:2
Sep 28, 2021 Calcutta Premier Division
Mohammedan vs Mohun Bagan U23
3:0
Sep 19, 2019 Calcutta Premier Division
Mohun Bagan U23 vs Mohammedan
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mohun Bagan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Samad S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Banerjee S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Mohammedan Compare

Top Goalscorer Lalremsanga
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohun Bagan U23 85 / 100
Mohammedan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohun Bagan U23 Mohammedan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohun Bagan U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Mohun Bagan U23 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mohun Bagan U23 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Mohammedan conceded in 76% of 38 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mohun Bagan U23 VS Mohammedan
3.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohun Bagan U23

(Home)
19 Sept
Mohun Bagan U23
3 : 2
Mohammedan
14 Sept
United SC
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan U23
10 Sept
Coal India
1 : 5
Mohun Bagan U23
07 Sept
East Bengal
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan U23
01 Sept
BSS Sporting
0 : 3
Mohun Bagan U23
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Mohammedan

(Away)
19 Sept
Mohun Bagan U23
3 : 2
Mohammedan
14 Sept
East Bengal
1 : 1
Mohammedan
11 Sept
Mohammedan
2 : 0
Bhawanipore
04 Sept
Peerless
2 : 0
Mohammedan
31 Aug
Kalighat SL
1 : 2
Mohammedan
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