Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mohun Bagan vs Bengaluru FC

India India

ISL 2024/2025 Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata
Sat, Apr 12, 2025
2 - 1
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Rodriguez A.
Own Goal
60'
Sub
Bhutia N. In: Fanai L.
Out: Bhutia N.
62'
Sub
Thapa A. In: Samad S.
Out: Thapa A.

AI Match Summary

Mohun Bagan in this ISL 2024/2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mohun Bagan
33%
Draws
27%
Bengaluru FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mohun Bagan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Bengaluru FC haven't matched Mohun Bagan's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Mohun Bagan taking it.
  • Mohun Bagan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mohun Bagan, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 68%
Bengaluru FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohun Bagan Bengaluru FC
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 21 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 ISL
Bengaluru FC vs Mohun Bagan
0:0
Apr 12, 2025 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs Bengaluru FC
2:1
Jan 27, 2025 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs Bengaluru FC
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 ISL
Bengaluru FC vs Mohun Bagan
3:0
Aug 27, 2024 Durand Cup
Mohun Bagan vs Bengaluru FC
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mohun Bagan Compare

Top Goalscorer Maclaren J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bengaluru FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohun Bagan 50 / 100
Bengaluru FC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohun Bagan Bengaluru FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mohun Bagan found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Mohun Bagan has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Bengaluru FC let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Mohun Bagan VS Bengaluru FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohun Bagan

(Home)
25 Jul
East Bengal
0 : 1
Mohun Bagan
21 May
Mohun Bagan
2 : 1
SC Delhi
17 May
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1
East Bengal
12 May
Mohun Bagan
0 : 0
Inter Kashi
09 May
FC Goa
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan
Page 1 of 7

Bengaluru FC

(Away)
16 May
Chennaiyin FC
1 : 2
Bengaluru FC
09 May
Jamshedpur
0 : 1
Bengaluru FC
04 May
Odisha FC
1 : 1
Bengaluru FC
25 Apr
Bengaluru FC
0 : 0
Mumbai City
16 Apr
East Bengal
3 : 3
Bengaluru FC
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mohun Bagan-
TBD-
North East United0
Jamshedpur2
FC Goa-
TBD-
Bengaluru FC5
Mumbai City0
Semi-finals
Mohun Bagan3
Jamshedpur2
FC Goa2
Bengaluru FC3
Final
Mohun Bagan2
Bengaluru FC1