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Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

ISL Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mohun Bagan host Chennaiyin FC in the ISL. Mohun Bagan go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Mohun Bagan at 2 goals for, 0.58 against; Chennaiyin FC at 0.96 for, 1.86 against. Past meetings favor Mohun Bagan slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 23, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (2.42 - 0.55) back Mohun Bagan to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Mohun Bagan
20%
Draws
7%
Chennaiyin FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mohun Bagan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Mohun Bagan have won more games recently than Chennaiyin FC.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Mohun Bagan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 20%
Chennaiyin FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohun Bagan Chennaiyin FC
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 21 5
Draws 10 7
Losses 2 16
Goals Scored 2 0.96
Goals Conceded 0.58 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 0.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2026 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin FC
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 Super Cup
Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin FC
2:0
Jan 21, 2025 ISL
Chennaiyin FC vs Mohun Bagan
0:0
Nov 30, 2024 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin FC
1:0
Mar 31, 2024 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin FC
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohun Bagan 85 / 100
Chennaiyin FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohun Bagan Chennaiyin FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohun Bagan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mohun Bagan found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Chennaiyin FC conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Mohun Bagan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mohun Bagan VS Chennaiyin FC
2.63 Goals Scored 0.6
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.2
75% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohun Bagan

(Home)
04 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
Minerva Punjab
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1
North East United
23 Sept
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0
Sreenidi Deccan
23 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1
Mohun Bagan
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
North East United
Page 1 of 7

Chennaiyin FC

(Away)
16 May
Chennaiyin FC
1 : 2
Bengaluru FC
10 May
North East United
4 : 1
Chennaiyin FC
06 May
Minerva Punjab
1 : 0
Chennaiyin FC
25 Apr
Jamshedpur
4 : 1
Chennaiyin FC
21 Apr
Chennaiyin FC
0 : 0
Mohammedan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Churchill Brothers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 East Bengal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Mohun Bagan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Bengaluru FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Chennaiyin FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Odisha FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 FC Goa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Kerala Blasters 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Mumbai City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 North East United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Minerva Punjab 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Inter Kashi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 SC Delhi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - ISL (Play Offs)
Promotion - ISL (Play Offs)