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Mohun Bagan vs DSK Shivajians

India India

I-League 2016/2017 Barasat Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mohun Bagan play DSK Shivajians in the I-League 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mohun Bagan averaged 1.94 goals scored and 0.76 conceded. DSK Shivajians averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Mohun Bagan won 3, DSK Shivajians won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 8, 2017 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Mohun Bagan and 0.63 for DSK Shivajians. This points to a Mohun Bagan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Mohun Bagan
35%
Draws
20%
DSK Shivajians
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mohun Bagan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Mohun Bagan picked up more points recently compared to DSK Shivajians.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 29%
DSK Shivajians Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohun Bagan DSK Shivajians
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 20 7
Draws 9 11
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.94 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2017 Federation Cup
Mohun Bagan vs DSK Shivajians
4:0
Feb 18, 2017 I-League
Mohun Bagan vs DSK Shivajians
3:1
Jan 24, 2017 I-League
DSK Shivajians vs Mohun Bagan
0:0
Apr 9, 2016 I-League
Mohun Bagan vs DSK Shivajians
3:3
Jan 30, 2016 I-League
DSK Shivajians vs Mohun Bagan
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mohun Bagan Compare

Top Goalscorer Singh B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

DSK Shivajians Compare

Top Goalscorer Singh M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohun Bagan 46 / 100
DSK Shivajians 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohun Bagan DSK Shivajians

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mohun Bagan or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mohun Bagan attacking → ← attacking DSK Shivajians

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mohun Bagan scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

DSK Shivajians let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Mohun Bagan went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

DSK Shivajians lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

69 Points in last 5 32
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Aizawl FC18114324:1437
2Mohun Bagan18106227:1236
3East Bengal18103533:1533
4Bengaluru FC1886430:1530
5Lajong1875624:2326
6Churchill Brothers1855824:2620
7DSK Shivajians1846822:3018
8Chennai City FC1845915:2917
9Minerva Punjab1827917:3313
10Mumbai182799:2813