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Mohun Bagan vs Eastern Railway Prediction & H2H Stats

India India

Calcutta Premier Division 2024 Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Molla F.
66' Event
Adnan S.
80' Event
Basfore R.

AI Match Summary

Mohun Bagan in this Calcutta Premier Division 2024 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mohun Bagan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Mohun Bagan
15%
Draws
32%
Eastern Railway
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mohun Bagan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mohun Bagan lately — more wins on the board than Eastern Railway.
  • Model gives Mohun Bagan a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Calcutta Premier Division 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 20%
Eastern Railway Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohun Bagan Eastern Railway
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 2 16
Goals Scored 2.28 1
Goals Conceded 0.59 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2024 Calcutta Premier Division
Mohun Bagan vs Eastern Railway
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mohun Bagan Compare

Top Goalscorer Adnan S.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Molla F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Eastern Railway Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohun Bagan 85 / 100
Eastern Railway 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohun Bagan Eastern Railway

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohun Bagan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mohun Bagan scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Eastern Railway's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Mohun Bagan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mohun Bagan VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohun Bagan

(Home)
04 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
Minerva Punjab
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1
North East United
23 Sept
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0
Sreenidi Deccan
23 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1
Mohun Bagan
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
North East United
Page 1 of 6

Eastern Railway

(Away)
27 Sept
Eastern Railway
3 : 2
Kalighat Milan Sangha
21 Sept
Wari
5 : 1
Eastern Railway
18 Sept
Eastern Railway
0 : 1
Police AC
14 Sept
Eastern Railway
3 : 0
Tollygunge Agragami
11 Sept
Eastern Railway
1 : 3
Army Red
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diamond Harbour 12 10 2 0 32:7 32
2 Suruchi Sangha 12 7 3 2 19:9 24
3 Mohammedan 12 5 4 3 24:14 19
4 Kidderpore SC 12 5 4 3 16:15 19
5 United SC 12 5 3 4 15:11 18
6 BSS Sporting 12 3 6 3 12:16 15
7 Southern Samity 12 4 2 6 16:15 14
8 Patha Chakra 12 4 2 6 14:16 14
9 Aryan 12 3 3 6 15:15 12
10 Measures Club 12 3 3 6 14:23 12
11 Wari 12 3 3 6 15:29 12
12 Kalighat Milan Sangha 12 2 5 5 6:12 11
13 Army Red 12 2 4 6 12:28 10
Promotion - Calcutta Premier Division 2024 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Calcutta Premier Division 2024 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 12 11 1 0 35:4 34
2 Bhawanipore 12 10 1 1 35:4 31
3 Calcutta Customs 12 7 3 2 22:13 24
4 Peerless 12 6 1 5 20:14 19
5 Kalighat SL 12 6 1 5 21:17 19
6 Calcutta Police 12 5 3 4 13:12 18
7 Mohun Bagan 12 4 4 4 28:15 16
8 George Telegrapher 12 5 0 7 12:20 15
9 Rainbow SC 12 2 7 3 15:17 13
10 Railway FC 12 3 1 8 11:29 10
11 Eastern Railway 12 2 2 8 5:28 8
12 Police AC 12 1 4 7 8:25 7
13 Tollygunge Agragami 12 1 2 9 13:40 5
Promotion - Calcutta Premier Division 2024 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Calcutta Premier Division 2024 (Relegation Group)