Sport Picks
Mohun Bagan vs Indian Navy Prediction & H2H Stats
India
Durand Cup 2022 
Match Events
18'
18'
Rodrigues L.
28'
28'
Nassiri K.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Mohun Bagan advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mohun Bagan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Indian Navy haven't matched Mohun Bagan's recent run of results.
- Mohun Bagan are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Mohun Bagan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Mohun Bagan, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 68%
Indian Navy Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mohun Bagan | Indian Navy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 23 |
| Wins | 24 | 4 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.08 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.61 | 1.91 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2022 Durand Cup
Mohun Bagan vs Indian Navy
2:0
Aug 17, 2019 Durand Cup
Mohun Bagan vs Indian Navy
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mohun Bagan Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodrigues L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nassiri K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Indian Navy Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mohun Bagan 77 / 100
Indian Navy 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mohun Bagan Indian Navy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mohun Bagan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Mohun Bagan scored in 83% of their last 36 outings.
Indian Navy has conceded goals in 87% of their last 23 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Mohun Bagan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Mohun Bagan VS Indian Navy
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mohun Bagan
(Home) 29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1 North East United
23 Sept
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0 Sreenidi Deccan
23 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1 Mohun Bagan
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 North East United
17 Aug
Mohun Bagan
2 : 1 Jamshedpur
Page 1 of 8
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1 North East United
23 Sept
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0 Sreenidi Deccan
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 North East United
17 Aug
Mohun Bagan
2 : 1 Jamshedpur
10 Aug
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0 CISF Protectors
Page 1 of 5
Indian Navy
(Away) 09 Aug
TRAU FC
2 : 1 Indian Navy
05 Aug
NEROCA
0 : 2 Indian Navy
30 Jul
Raengdai
1 : 0 Indian Navy
16 Aug
Lajong
2 : 1 Indian Navy
12 Aug
TRAU FC
1 : 2 Indian Navy
Page 1 of 5
09 Aug
TRAU FC
2 : 1 Indian Navy
05 Aug
NEROCA
0 : 2 Indian Navy
30 Jul
Raengdai
1 : 0 Indian Navy
16 Aug
Lajong
2 : 1 Indian Navy
12 Aug
TRAU FC
1 : 2 Indian Navy
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mohammedan | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Bengaluru FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 8 |
| 3 | Jamshedpur | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Goa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 5 | Indian Air Force (New Delhi) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:9 | 0 |
Promotion - Durand Cup 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mumbai City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 7 |
| 2 | Mohun Bagan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Rajasthan United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 4 | East Bengal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 5 | Indian Navy | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:8 | 1 |
Promotion - Durand Cup 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hyderabad | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Chennaiyin FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 3 | Army Red | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 4 | NEROCA | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 5 | TRAU FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 3 |
Promotion - Durand Cup 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odisha FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:0 | 12 |
| 2 | Kerala Blasters | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Army Green | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 4 | North East United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:12 | 3 |
| 5 | Sudeva Delhi | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | 2 |
Promotion - Durand Cup 2022 (Play Offs)
