Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mohun Bagan vs Kalyani Bharat

India India

I-League 2014/2015
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Katsumi Y.
46'
Sub
Kumar R. In: Dias S.
Out: Kumar R.
58'
Singh B.

AI Match Summary

Mohun Bagan host Kalyani Bharat in the I-League 2014/2015. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Kalyani Bharat have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Mohun Bagan have conceded 0.25 and scored 1.63. Past meetings favor Mohun Bagan slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 5, 2015, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.42 xG vs 0.63) point toward Mohun Bagan. Mohun Bagan in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mohun Bagan
6%
Draws
4%
Kalyani Bharat
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mohun Bagan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mohun Bagan has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Kalyani Bharat.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Mohun Bagan.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in I-League 2014/2015 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 68%
Kalyani Bharat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohun Bagan Kalyani Bharat
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 19 4
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 0.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2015 I-League
Kalyani Bharat vs Mohun Bagan
1:0
Apr 11, 2015 I-League
Mohun Bagan vs Kalyani Bharat
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mohun Bagan Compare

Top Goalscorer Norde S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Kalyani Bharat Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohun Bagan 95 / 100
Kalyani Bharat 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohun Bagan Kalyani Bharat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mohun Bagan scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Kalyani Bharat let in goals in 70% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Mohun Bagan went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Kalyani Bharat lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mohun Bagan VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mohun Bagan20116333:1639
2Bengaluru FC20107335:1937
3Royal Wahingdoh2086627:2730
4East Bengal2085730:2829
5Pune2085724:2629
6Mumbai2059622:2724
7Salgaocar SC20731025:2724
8SC Goa2058722:2723
9Lajong2065934:2923
10Dempo20310715:2619
11Kalyani Bharat20461013:2818