Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mohun Bagan vs Kerala Blasters

India India

ISL Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Farooq D.
36' Event
Maclaren J.
Assist: Petratos D.
46'
Sub
Borges R. In: Singh H. N.
Out: Borges R.

AI Match Summary

The ISL game between Mohun Bagan and Kerala Blasters finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mohun Bagan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Mohun Bagan
15%
Draws
44%
Kerala Blasters
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kerala Blasters

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Mohun Bagan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mohun Bagan's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mohun Bagan have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 18%
Kerala Blasters Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohun Bagan Kerala Blasters
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.16 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.65 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs Kerala Blasters
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 Super Cup
Kerala Blasters vs Mohun Bagan
1:2
Feb 15, 2025 ISL
Kerala Blasters vs Mohun Bagan
0:3
Dec 14, 2024 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs Kerala Blasters
3:2
Mar 13, 2024 ISL
Kerala Blasters vs Mohun Bagan
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mohun Bagan Compare

Top Goalscorer Maclaren J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aldred T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Kerala Blasters Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohun Bagan 58 / 100
Kerala Blasters 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohun Bagan Kerala Blasters

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohun Bagan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mohun Bagan scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Kerala Blasters's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Mohun Bagan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mohun Bagan VS Kerala Blasters
2.13 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.83
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohun Bagan

(Home)
23 Sept
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0
Sreenidi Deccan
23 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1
Mohun Bagan
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
North East United
17 Aug
Mohun Bagan
2 : 1
Jamshedpur
10 Aug
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0
CISF Protectors
Page 1 of 7

Kerala Blasters

(Away)
18 May
Kerala Blasters
2 : 1
FC Goa
10 May
Kerala Blasters
3 : 1
Mohammedan
23 Apr
Kerala Blasters
2 : 1
Odisha FC
18 Apr
Kerala Blasters
2 : 0
Jamshedpur
15 Apr
Kerala Blasters
1 : 1
North East United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 13 7 5 1 30:11 26
2 Mohun Bagan 13 7 5 1 23:9 26
3 Mumbai City 13 7 4 2 17:9 25
4 Bengaluru FC 13 6 5 2 18:12 23
5 Jamshedpur 13 6 4 3 15:10 22
6 Minerva Punjab 13 6 4 3 18:12 22
7 FC Goa 13 5 5 3 15:11 20
8 Kerala Blasters 13 5 2 6 15:17 17
9 North East United 13 4 4 5 16:21 16
10 Inter Kashi 13 3 4 6 11:17 13
11 Odisha FC 13 2 5 6 14:22 11
12 SC Delhi 13 2 5 6 13:17 11
13 Chennaiyin FC 13 2 3 8 9:21 9
14 Mohammedan 13 0 3 10 7:32 3
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)