Sport Picks
Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal Prediction & H2H Stats
India
IFA Shield Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Mohun Bagan have averaged 2.14 scored and 0.64 conceded recently, against East Bengal's 2.36 scored and 0.67 conceded. Past meetings favor Mohun Bagan slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.04 - 1.44) back East Bengal to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- East Bengal have won more games recently than Mohun Bagan.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- East Bengal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mohun Bagan | East Bengal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 33 |
| Wins | 17 | 21 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 2.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mohun Bagan's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Mohun Bagan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
East Bengal has conceded goals in 55% of their last 33 outings.
