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Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

ISL Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mohun Bagan host Minerva Punjab in the ISL. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Mohun Bagan at 1.83 goals for, 0.58 against; Minerva Punjab at 1.61 for, 0.94 against. Head-to-head, Mohun Bagan have won 5 to Minerva Punjab's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 4, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.67 - 0.98) back Mohun Bagan to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Mohun Bagan
15%
Draws
40%
Minerva Punjab
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mohun Bagan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Mohun Bagan have won more games recently than Minerva Punjab.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Mohun Bagan taking it.
  • Regular ISL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mohun Bagan here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 20%
Minerva Punjab Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohun Bagan Minerva Punjab
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 23 15
Draws 10 7
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 1.83 1.61
Goals Conceded 0.58 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 IFA Shield
Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab
1:0
Apr 12, 2026 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab
3:2
Feb 5, 2025 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab
3:0
Dec 26, 2024 ISL
Minerva Punjab vs Mohun Bagan
1:3
Aug 23, 2024 Durand Cup
Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohun Bagan 42 / 100
Minerva Punjab 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohun Bagan Minerva Punjab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mohun Bagan scored in 80% of their last 35 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Minerva Punjab conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Mohun Bagan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mohun Bagan VS Minerva Punjab
2.63 Goals Scored 1.57
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.71
63% Over 1.5 43%
50% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohun Bagan

(Home)
12 Oct
North East United
1 : 0
Mohun Bagan
08 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
East Bengal
04 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
Minerva Punjab
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1
North East United
23 Sept
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0
Sreenidi Deccan
Page 1 of 8

Minerva Punjab

(Away)
04 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
Minerva Punjab
30 Sept
East Bengal
0 : 1
Minerva Punjab
27 Sept
Calcutta Customs
0 : 7
Minerva Punjab
21 May
Minerva Punjab
0 : 2
Mumbai City
16 May
Odisha FC
2 : 3
Minerva Punjab
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kerala Blasters 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Bengaluru FC 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
3 Churchill Brothers 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 North East United 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Chennaiyin FC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 FC Goa 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 East Bengal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Odisha FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Minerva Punjab 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 SC Delhi 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
11 Mumbai City 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Mohun Bagan 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Inter Kashi 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - ISL (Play Offs)
Promotion - ISL (Play Offs)