Sport Picks
Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Mohun Bagan host Minerva Punjab in the ISL. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Mohun Bagan at 1.83 goals for, 0.58 against; Minerva Punjab at 1.61 for, 0.94 against. Head-to-head, Mohun Bagan have won 5 to Minerva Punjab's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 4, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.67 - 0.98) back Mohun Bagan to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Mohun Bagan have won more games recently than Minerva Punjab.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Mohun Bagan taking it.
- Regular ISL form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Mohun Bagan here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mohun Bagan | Minerva Punjab |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 31 |
| Wins | 23 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 3 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.58 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.67 | 0.98 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Mohun Bagan scored in 80% of their last 35 outings.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Defensive concern: Minerva Punjab conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.
Recent resilience: Mohun Bagan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Mohun Bagan
(Home)Minerva Punjab
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kerala Blasters | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Bengaluru FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Churchill Brothers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 | North East United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Chennaiyin FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 6 | FC Goa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 7 | East Bengal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Odisha FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Minerva Punjab | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | SC Delhi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 11 | Mumbai City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 12 | Mohun Bagan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 13 | Inter Kashi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |