Sport Picks
Mohun Bagan vs North East United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
India
IFA Shield Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata 
Match Events
49'
49'
Erwin L.
71'
71'
Figueira M.
Penalty Missed
72'
72'
Gonzalez E.
AI Match Summary
The IFA Shield game between Mohun Bagan and North East United finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mohun Bagan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Mohun Bagan come out ahead of North East United on wins alone.
- Model gives Mohun Bagan a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular IFA Shield form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Mohun Bagan have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 10%
North East United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mohun Bagan | North East United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 21 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 2 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.52 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 29, 2026 IFA Shield
Mohun Bagan vs North East United
1:1
Aug 20, 2026 Durand Cup
Mohun Bagan vs North East United
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 ISL
North East United vs Mohun Bagan
0:1
Dec 8, 2024 ISL
North East United vs Mohun Bagan
0:2
Sep 23, 2024 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs North East United
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mohun Bagan Compare
Top Goalscorer Erwin L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
North East United Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mohun Bagan 83 / 100
North East United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mohun Bagan North East United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mohun Bagan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Mohun Bagan scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.
North East United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Mohun Bagan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Mohun Bagan VS North East United
3.38 Goals Scored 3
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Mohun Bagan
(Home) 08 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 East Bengal
04 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 Minerva Punjab
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1 North East United
23 Sept
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0 Sreenidi Deccan
23 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1 Mohun Bagan
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08 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 East Bengal
04 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 Minerva Punjab
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1 North East United
23 Sept
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0 Sreenidi Deccan
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 North East United
Page 1 of 5
North East United
(Away) 05 Oct
East Bengal
7 : 2 North East United
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1 North East United
26 Sept
Sreenidi Deccan
0 : 3 North East United
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 North East United
17 Aug
Lajong
2 : 5 North East United
Page 1 of 7
05 Oct
East Bengal
7 : 2 North East United
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1 North East United
26 Sept
Sreenidi Deccan
0 : 3 North East United
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0 North East United
17 Aug
Lajong
2 : 5 North East United
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minerva Punjab | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 6 |
| 2 | East Bengal | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Calcutta Customs | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:10 | 0 |
| 4 | Mohammedan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - IFA Shield (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mohun Bagan | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 4 |
| 2 | North East United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 4 |
| 3 | Sreenidi Deccan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:9 | 0 |
Promotion - IFA Shield (Play Offs)
