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Mohun Bagan vs Odisha FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

ISL Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata
Thu, Nov 5, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mohun Bagan host Odisha FC in the ISL. Little to choose between these two on current form. Odisha FC have shipped 1.59 goals a game lately, while Mohun Bagan have conceded 0.53 and scored 1.94. Head-to-head, Mohun Bagan have won 3 to Odisha FC's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2026, ending 5:1. xG projections (1.69 - 0.50) back Mohun Bagan to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Mohun Bagan
30%
Draws
23%
Odisha FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mohun Bagan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mohun Bagan lately — more wins on the board than Odisha FC.
  • Win probability leans Mohun Bagan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular ISL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 20%
Odisha FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohun Bagan Odisha FC
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 22 7
Draws 9 11
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 1.94 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.53 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs Odisha FC
5:1
Feb 23, 2025 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs Odisha FC
1:0
Nov 10, 2024 ISL
Odisha FC vs Mohun Bagan
1:1
Apr 28, 2024 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs Odisha FC
2:0
Apr 23, 2024 ISL
Odisha FC vs Mohun Bagan
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohun Bagan 85 / 100
Odisha FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohun Bagan Odisha FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohun Bagan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mohun Bagan scored in 79% of their last 34 outings.

Odisha FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Mohun Bagan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mohun Bagan VS Odisha FC
2.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohun Bagan

(Home)
12 Oct
North East United
1 : 0
Mohun Bagan
08 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
East Bengal
04 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
Minerva Punjab
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1
North East United
23 Sept
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0
Sreenidi Deccan
Page 1 of 7

Odisha FC

(Away)
21 May
Jamshedpur
0 : 0
Odisha FC
16 May
Odisha FC
2 : 3
Minerva Punjab
08 May
SC Delhi
1 : 2
Odisha FC
04 May
Odisha FC
1 : 1
Bengaluru FC
28 Apr
East Bengal
3 : 0
Odisha FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kerala Blasters 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Bengaluru FC 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
3 Churchill Brothers 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 North East United 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Chennaiyin FC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 FC Goa 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 East Bengal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Odisha FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Minerva Punjab 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 SC Delhi 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
11 Mumbai City 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Mohun Bagan 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Inter Kashi 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - ISL (Play Offs)
Promotion - ISL (Play Offs)