Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mohun Bagan vs Sreenidi Deccan

India India

IFA Shield Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Suryavanshi A.
44' Event
Chhangte L.
52' Event
Chhangte L.

AI Match Summary

The IFA Shield game between Mohun Bagan and Sreenidi Deccan finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mohun Bagan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Mohun Bagan
20%
Draws
32%
Sreenidi Deccan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mohun Bagan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mohun Bagan come out ahead of Sreenidi Deccan on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mohun Bagan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 20%
Sreenidi Deccan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohun Bagan Sreenidi Deccan
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 2.14 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 IFA Shield
Mohun Bagan vs Sreenidi Deccan
6:0
Jan 9, 2024 Super Cup
Mohun Bagan vs Sreenidi Deccan
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mohun Bagan Compare

Top Goalscorer Chhangte L.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Suryavanshi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Sreenidi Deccan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohun Bagan 85 / 100
Sreenidi Deccan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohun Bagan Sreenidi Deccan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohun Bagan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sreenidi Deccan has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Mohun Bagan scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Mohun Bagan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mohun Bagan VS Sreenidi Deccan
2.5 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohun Bagan

(Home)
23 Sept
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0
Sreenidi Deccan
23 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1
Mohun Bagan
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
North East United
17 Aug
Mohun Bagan
2 : 1
Jamshedpur
10 Aug
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0
CISF Protectors
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Sreenidi Deccan

(Away)
23 Sept
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0
Sreenidi Deccan
22 May
Dempo
1 : 1
Sreenidi Deccan
16 May
Sreenidi Deccan
2 : 1
Chanmari
10 May
Sreenidi Deccan
1 : 1
Lajong
03 May
Diamond Harbour
1 : 2
Sreenidi Deccan
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Minerva Punjab 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Calcutta Customs 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
4 Mohammedan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - IFA Shield (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mohun Bagan 1 1 0 0 6:0 3
2 North East United 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Sreenidi Deccan 2 0 0 2 0:9 0
Promotion - IFA Shield (Play Offs)