Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

I Liqa

MOIK Baku

2 - 1

Cebrayil

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

Akuqe C.

35'

Abdullayev F.

90'

Maharramli S.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

MOIK Baku in this I Liqa matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored MOIK Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

MOIK Baku

Draws

Cebrayil

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: MOIK Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to MOIK Baku lately — more wins on the board than Cebrayil.
Win probability leans MOIK Baku's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors MOIK Baku here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%

MOIK Baku Clean Sheet 68%

Cebrayil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	MOIK Baku	Cebrayil
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	8
Draws	7	4
Losses	14	18
Goals Scored	1.25	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 I Liqa

MOIK Baku vs Cebrayil

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Feb 5, 2026 I Liqa

Cebrayil vs MOIK Baku

Possession: 43% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

Oct 16, 2025 I Liqa

MOIK Baku vs Cebrayil

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

4:1

Apr 10, 2025 I Liqa

MOIK Baku vs Cebrayil

Possession: 58% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Feb 6, 2025 I Liqa

MOIK Baku vs Cebrayil

Possession: 51% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MOIK Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Akuqe C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Cebrayil Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdullayev F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MOIK Baku 95 / 100

Cebrayil 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

MOIK Baku Cebrayil

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cebrayil has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

MOIK Baku's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Cebrayil has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

MOIK Baku VS Cebrayil

1.25 Goals Scored 1.25

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Safa Baku	27	16	9	2	52:21	57
2	Mingachevir	27	15	6	6	55:27	51
3	Sabail	27	14	8	5	46:21	50
4	Baku Sporting	27	13	10	4	40:23	49
5	Sahdag Qusar	27	12	7	8	36:27	43
6	MOIK Baku	27	9	6	12	33:40	33
7	Zaqatala PFK	27	8	4	15	27:44	28
8	Cebrayil	27	7	3	17	40:56	24
9	Shimal	27	5	5	17	23:61	20
10	Difai Agsu	27	4	6	17	28:60	18