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MOIK Baku vs FC Khankendi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Wed, Dec 16, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MOIK Baku host FC Khankendi in the I Liqa. This has MOIK Baku written all over it on paper. FC Khankendi have shipped 1.44 goals a game lately, while MOIK Baku have conceded 1.7 and scored 1.4. Head-to-head, MOIK Baku have won 1 to FC Khankendi's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 18, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.06) point toward MOIK Baku. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
MOIK Baku
30%
Draws
23%
FC Khankendi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: MOIK Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and MOIK Baku come out ahead of FC Khankendi on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans MOIK Baku's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular I Liqa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
MOIK Baku Clean Sheet 20%
FC Khankendi Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MOIK Baku FC Khankendi
Matches Played 30 9
Wins 12 1
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.4 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 I Liqa
FC Khankendi vs MOIK Baku
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MOIK Baku 58 / 100
FC Khankendi 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MOIK Baku FC Khankendi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOIK Baku Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Khankendi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 9 matches.

Attacking prowess: MOIK Baku scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: MOIK Baku remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

MOIK Baku VS FC Khankendi
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

MOIK Baku

(Home)
05 Nov
Zaqatala PFK
1 : 1
MOIK Baku
28 Oct
MOIK Baku
1 : 9
Sahdag Qusar
22 Oct
MOIK Baku
3 : 1
Karvan
16 Oct
Baku Sporting
1 : 3
MOIK Baku
09 Oct
MOIK Baku
3 : 0
Mingachevir
Page 1 of 6

FC Khankendi

(Away)
05 Nov
Baku Sporting
1 : 1
FC Khankendi
29 Oct
FC Khankendi
2 : 3
Gancabasar
21 Oct
FC Khankendi
0 : 1
Mingachevir
15 Oct
FC Khankendi
1 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
09 Oct
Shimal
1 : 1
FC Khankendi
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gancabasar 7 5 1 1 19:6 16
2 Sahdag Qusar 6 5 0 1 14:2 15
3 MOIK Baku 7 4 2 1 13:5 14
4 Karvan 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
5 Sabail 7 3 3 1 10:7 12
6 Shimal 7 2 2 3 14:15 8
7 FC Khankendi 7 1 3 3 5:8 6
8 Zaqatala PFK 7 1 2 4 7:22 5
9 Mingachevir 6 1 1 4 5:14 4
10 Baku Sporting 7 0 1 6 4:18 1
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)