Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
MOIK Baku host Karvan in the I Liqa. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. MOIK Baku have averaged 1.29 scored and 1.57 conceded recently, against Karvan's 0.76 scored and 1.72 conceded. Head-to-head, MOIK Baku have won 0 to Karvan's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.13, favoring MOIK Baku. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Karvan haven't matched MOIK Baku's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular I Liqa form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Karvan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | MOIK Baku | Karvan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 0.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Karvan conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
MOIK Baku's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: MOIK Baku stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
MOIK Baku
(Home)Karvan
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sahdag Qusar | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Gancabasar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Sabail | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Karvan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 5 | MOIK Baku | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 6 | Zaqatala PFK | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:11 | 4 |
| 7 | FC Khankendi | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 8 | Mingachevir | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 9 | Shimal | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 10 | Baku Sporting | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | 0 |
