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MOIK Baku vs Sahdag Qusar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan Cup
MOIK Baku Logo

MOIK Baku

1 - 9
FT
Sahdag Qusar Logo

Sahdag Qusar

Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Chipesse A.
43' Event
Messias
45' Event
Chipesse A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-9. This leg finished 1-9.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
MOIK Baku
15%
Draws
42%
Sahdag Qusar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MOIK Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sahdag Qusar lately — more wins on the board than MOIK Baku.
  • Sahdag Qusar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Sahdag Qusar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sahdag Qusar, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Sahdag Qusar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
MOIK Baku Clean Sheet 16%
Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MOIK Baku Sahdag Qusar
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.72 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
MOIK Baku vs Sahdag Qusar
1:9
Sep 3, 2026 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Sahdag Qusar
0:1
Apr 29, 2026 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Sahdag Qusar
0:1
Mar 12, 2026 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs MOIK Baku
1:1
Sep 11, 2025 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Sahdag Qusar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MOIK Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Safarov Q.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sahdag Qusar Compare

Top Goalscorer Chipesse A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Daouda A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MOIK Baku 10 / 100
Sahdag Qusar 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MOIK Baku Sahdag Qusar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sahdag Qusar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

MOIK Baku's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

MOIK Baku has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sahdag Qusar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

MOIK Baku VS Sahdag Qusar
1.88 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

MOIK Baku

(Home)
28 Oct
MOIK Baku
1 : 9
Sahdag Qusar
22 Oct
MOIK Baku
3 : 1
Karvan
16 Oct
Baku Sporting
1 : 3
MOIK Baku
09 Oct
MOIK Baku
3 : 0
Mingachevir
18 Sept
FC Khankendi
0 : 2
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 7

Sahdag Qusar

(Away)
28 Oct
MOIK Baku
1 : 9
Sahdag Qusar
21 Oct
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 0
Sabail
15 Oct
FC Khankendi
1 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
07 Oct
Sahdag Qusar
6 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
17 Sept
Shimal
1 : 4
Sahdag Qusar
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Shimal 0
Araz PFK 6
Marafon 1
Zaqatala PFK 0
Sabah FC -
TBD -
Imisli FK 4
Lokbatan 1
Kur-Araz 0
SumQayit FK 11
TBD -
Qarabag Agdam -
Gabala 3
Mingachevir 0
MOIK Baku 1
Sahdag Qusar 9
FC Khankendi 2
Gancabasar 3
Hypers Guba 1
Shamakhi 5
Neftci Baku -
TBD -
Safa Baku 9
Agstafa Gencleri 2
Zangazur (Am) 1
Karvan 4
Sabail 2
Zira FK 3
Turan -
TBD -
Kapaz 3
Baku Sporting 1
1/8-finals
Araz PFK -
Marafon -
Sabah FC -
Imisli FK -
SumQayit FK -
Qarabag Agdam -
Gabala -
Sahdag Qusar -
Gancabasar -
Shamakhi -
Neftci Baku -
Safa Baku -
Karvan -
Zira FK -
Turan -
Kapaz -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -