Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Arraki L.
63'
63'
Karouia R.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 game between Moknine and Kalaa finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moknine.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kalaa come out ahead of Moknine on wins alone.
- Model gives Moknine a 40% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Moknine Clean Sheet 68%
Kalaa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moknine | Kalaa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Ligue 2
Moknine vs Kalaa
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Ligue 2
Kalaa vs Moknine
2:1
Apr 20, 2025 Ligue 2
Moknine vs Kalaa
2:2
Dec 7, 2024 Ligue 2
Kalaa vs Moknine
1:2
Mar 4, 2023 Ligue 2
Moknine vs Kalaa
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Moknine Compare
Top Goalscorer Arraki L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Karouia R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Kalaa Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moknine 86 / 100
Kalaa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moknine Kalaa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Moknine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Kalaa conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Moknine scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Moknine stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Moknine VS Kalaa
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Moknine
(Home) 12 May
Moknine
1 : 1 Ariana
02 May
Jendouba Sport
1 : 0 Moknine
28 Apr
Moknine
2 : 1 Ksour Essef
19 Apr
Redeyef
2 : 3 Moknine
11 Apr
Moknine
0 : 2 Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 6
12 May
Moknine
1 : 1 Ariana
28 Apr
Moknine
2 : 1 Ksour Essef
11 Apr
Moknine
0 : 2 Stade Gabesien
28 Mar
Moknine
1 : 1 PS Sakiet Eddaier
21 Feb
Moknine
2 : 0 Kalaa
Page 1 of 3
Kalaa
(Away) 12 May
Kalaa
1 : 3 Jendouba Sport
02 May
Ksour Essef
1 : 2 Kalaa
28 Apr
Kalaa
2 : 2 Redeyef
22 Apr
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0 Kalaa
11 Apr
Kalaa
1 : 0 Djelma
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Ksour Essef
1 : 2 Kalaa
22 Apr
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0 Kalaa
04 Apr
PS Sakiet Eddaier
5 : 0 Kalaa
21 Feb
Moknine
2 : 0 Kalaa
31 Jan
Bouchamma
1 : 0 Kalaa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
