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Mokpo vs Gangneung

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Lee T.
51' Event
Song Tae-seong
90' Event
Lee G.

AI Match Summary

Mokpo in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mokpo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mokpo
33%
Draws
27%
Gangneung
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mokpo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gangneung lately — more wins on the board than Mokpo.
  • Mokpo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Mokpo Clean Sheet 68%
Gangneung Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mokpo Gangneung
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 K3 League
Mokpo vs Gangneung
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 K3 League
Gangneung vs Mokpo
0:0
Oct 26, 2025 K3 League
Mokpo vs Gangneung
2:1
Jun 14, 2025 K3 League
Gangneung vs Mokpo
3:1
Aug 24, 2024 K3 League
Gangneung vs Mokpo
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mokpo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lee G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Gangneung Compare

Top Goalscorer Song Tae-seong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mokpo 50 / 100
Gangneung 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mokpo Gangneung

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mokpo found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Gangneung conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Mokpo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mokpo VS Gangneung
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mokpo

(Home)
15 Jul
Cheonan City
2 : 1
Mokpo
11 Jul
Mokpo
2 : 1
Gangneung
04 Jul
Mokpo
3 : 2
Anseong Citizen
27 Jun
Ulsan Citizen
4 : 1
Mokpo
20 Jun
Changwon
1 : 1
Mokpo
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Gangneung

(Away)
15 Jul
Paju Frontier
3 : 2
Gangneung
11 Jul
Mokpo
2 : 1
Gangneung
04 Jul
Gangneung
2 : 0
Jecheon Citizen
28 Jun
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 2
Gangneung
21 Jun
Pocheon
3 : 1
Gangneung
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Dangjin Citizen1874729:2625
6Changwon1767418:1625
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 218161119:429
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)