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Mokpo vs Gyeongju KHNP

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Yu Shin

AI Match Summary

Mokpo host Gyeongju KHNP in the K3 League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Gyeongju KHNP have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while Mokpo have conceded 1.88 and scored 0.75. Past meetings favor Gyeongju KHNP slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.56, favoring Gyeongju KHNP. Gyeongju KHNP in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Mokpo
20%
Draws
38%
Gyeongju KHNP
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mokpo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Gyeongju KHNP has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Mokpo.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Mokpo.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in K3 League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Mokpo Clean Sheet 15%
Gyeongju KHNP Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mokpo Gyeongju KHNP
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 13
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 K3 League
Mokpo vs Gyeongju KHNP
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 K3 League
Gyeongju KHNP vs Mokpo
2:0
Apr 20, 2025 K3 League
Mokpo vs Gyeongju KHNP
0:1
Aug 17, 2024 K3 League
Mokpo vs Gyeongju KHNP
4:0
Apr 21, 2024 K3 League
Gyeongju KHNP vs Mokpo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mokpo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Gyeongju KHNP Compare

Top Goalscorer Yu Shin
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mokpo 41 / 100
Gyeongju KHNP 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mokpo Gyeongju KHNP

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mokpo scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Gyeongju KHNP let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Mokpo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gyeongju KHNP lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mokpo VS Gyeongju KHNP
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Changwon1767418:1625
6Dangjin Citizen1764727:2622
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 217161019:409