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Mold Alexandra vs Caersws FC

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Browne D.
52' Event
Roberts M.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2025/2026 game between Mold Alexandra and Caersws FC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caersws FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mold Alexandra
33%
Draws
27%
Caersws FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mold Alexandra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Mold Alexandra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mold Alexandra's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Cymru North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Mold Alexandra Clean Sheet 18%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mold Alexandra Caersws FC
Matches Played 35 34
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 26, 2025 Cymru North
Mold Alexandra vs Caersws FC
0:2
Aug 9, 2025 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Mold Alexandra
0:2
Feb 8, 2025 Cymru North
Mold Alexandra vs Caersws FC
2:2
Sep 7, 2024 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Mold Alexandra
0:1
Mar 29, 2024 Cymru North
Mold Alexandra vs Caersws FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mold Alexandra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Caersws FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Browne D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mold Alexandra 40 / 100
Caersws FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mold Alexandra Caersws FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mold Alexandra scored in 83% of their last 35 outings.

Caersws FC has conceded goals in 79% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Mold Alexandra remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mold Alexandra VS Caersws FC
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llandudno FC30262277:2280
2Airbus UK Broughton FC30243393:2275
3Holywell Town FC30186678:4060
4Newtown301531251:4948
5Rhyl301441246:5546
6Guilsfield301341350:4843
7Mold Alexandra301251338:4541
8Denbigh301241452:5940
9Caersws FC301141546:5137
10Brickfield Rangers301141539:4937
11Holyhead301061444:4936
12Penrhyncoch301051545:5335
13Buckley30931850:7730
14Flint Mountain30921939:6129
15Gresford30841847:8728
16Ruthin Town30651936:6423