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Mold Alexandra vs Holyhead - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Nash R.

AI Match Summary

Mold Alexandra in this Cymru North matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mold Alexandra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Mold Alexandra
20%
Draws
45%
Holyhead
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Holyhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mold Alexandra lately — more wins on the board than Holyhead.
  • Mold Alexandra are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mold Alexandra have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Mold Alexandra Clean Sheet 17%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mold Alexandra Holyhead
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.9 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Cymru North
Mold Alexandra vs Holyhead
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Mold Alexandra
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 Cymru North
Mold Alexandra vs Holyhead
1:1
Mar 18, 2023 Cymru North
Mold Alexandra vs Holyhead
3:1
Oct 8, 2022 FAW Welsh Cup
Mold Alexandra vs Holyhead
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mold Alexandra Compare

Top Goalscorer Nash R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Holyhead Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mold Alexandra 36 / 100
Holyhead 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mold Alexandra Holyhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mold Alexandra scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Holyhead conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Mold Alexandra remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mold Alexandra VS Holyhead
3 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mold Alexandra

(Home)
31 Oct
Mold Alexandra
2 : 1
Rhyl
10 Oct
Brickfield Rangers
0 : 4
Mold Alexandra
03 Oct
Mold Alexandra
1 : 2
Newtown
26 Sept
Bala
2 : 4
Mold Alexandra
12 Sept
Mold Alexandra
2 : 2
Llanuwchllyn
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Holyhead

(Away)
31 Oct
Holyhead
3 : 1
Penrhyncoch
24 Oct
Buckley
0 : 2
Holyhead
17 Oct
Bala
3 : 4
Holyhead
10 Oct
Holyhead
1 : 1
Caersws FC
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4
Holyhead
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 13 10 1 2 28:11 31
2 Newtown 12 8 3 1 22:5 27
3 Mold Alexandra 12 8 2 2 30:14 26
4 Porthmadog 13 7 3 3 20:14 24
5 Bala 13 6 3 4 26:24 21
6 Caersws FC 12 5 5 2 25:18 20
7 Bangor 1876 12 5 3 4 24:19 18
8 Guilsfield 13 4 6 3 20:18 18
9 Buckley 13 4 3 6 25:23 15
10 Holyhead 12 4 2 6 17:20 14
11 Llanuwchllyn 12 4 2 6 23:31 14
12 Denbigh 12 4 1 7 24:26 13
13 Ruthin Town 12 3 3 6 12:22 12
14 Rhyl 12 2 5 5 21:24 11
15 Gresford 11 2 1 8 7:24 7
16 Penrhyncoch 12 0 1 11 6:37 1
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