Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Molde vs Kristiansund

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Aker Stadion, Molde
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Odegard N.
42' Event
Hoff V.
Assist: Hansen S.
46'
Sub
Risa B. In: Haugan E.
Out: Risa B.

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Molde and Kristiansund finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Molde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Molde
20%
Draws
33%
Kristiansund
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Molde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Molde come out ahead of Kristiansund on wins alone.
  • Model gives Molde a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Molde Clean Sheet 10%
Kristiansund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Molde Kristiansund
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.25 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Eliteserien
Kristiansund vs Molde
2:1
May 16, 2026 Eliteserien
Molde vs Kristiansund
1:0
Feb 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Molde vs Kristiansund
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 Eliteserien
Kristiansund vs Molde
2:1
May 21, 2025 NM Cup
Molde vs Kristiansund
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Molde Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoff V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Kristiansund Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Molde 83 / 100
Kristiansund 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Molde Kristiansund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Molde scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Kristiansund's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Molde stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Molde VS Kristiansund
2 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Molde

(Home)
30 Aug
Valerenga
3 : 4
Molde
22 Aug
Midsund
0 : 11
Molde
16 Aug
Molde
3 : 2
Tromso
09 Aug
Kristiansund
2 : 1
Molde
02 Aug
Molde
3 : 3
Sarpsborg 08
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Kristiansund

(Away)
30 Aug
Ham-Kam
2 : 2
Kristiansund
22 Aug
Tronder-Lyn
0 : 5
Kristiansund
16 Aug
Fredrikstad
1 : 0
Kristiansund
09 Aug
Kristiansund
2 : 1
Molde
02 Aug
KFUM Oslo
2 : 1
Kristiansund
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodo/Glimt 19 15 2 2 49:15 47
2 Viking 19 14 2 3 43:19 44
3 Tromso 18 10 5 3 34:20 35
4 Molde 18 9 3 6 36:29 30
5 Brann 18 8 2 8 36:27 26
6 Lillestrom 18 8 2 8 24:25 26
7 Fredrikstad 19 8 2 9 23:30 26
8 Rosenborg 18 7 3 8 27:26 24
9 Sarpsborg 08 18 6 5 7 20:23 23
10 Ham-Kam 18 6 5 7 26:32 23
11 Valerenga 18 6 3 9 31:38 21
12 Sandefjord 19 5 5 9 16:24 20
13 KFUM Oslo 18 5 4 9 20:31 19
14 Aalesund 19 3 9 7 30:43 18
15 Kristiansund 18 4 4 10 17:29 16
16 Start 19 3 4 12 20:41 13
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)