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Molde vs Start - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Aker Stadion, Molde
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Molde host Start in the Eliteserien. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Start have shipped 2.03 goals a game lately, while Molde have conceded 1.46 and scored 2.54. Head-to-head, Molde have won 4 to Start's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 2.69 vs 1.44, favoring Molde. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Molde
15%
Draws
42%
Start
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Molde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Molde come out ahead of Start on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Molde's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Molde have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Molde Clean Sheet 16%
Start Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Molde Start
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2.54 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.46 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Eliteserien
Start vs Molde
1:1
Aug 5, 2020 Eliteserien
Molde vs Start
5:0
Jun 24, 2020 Eliteserien
Start vs Molde
2:3
Oct 29, 2018 Eliteserien
Start vs Molde
1:3
May 27, 2018 Eliteserien
Molde vs Start
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Molde 84 / 100
Start 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Molde Start

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Molde scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Start's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Molde stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Molde VS Start
4 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Molde

(Home)
04 Oct
Molde
3 : 0
Kristiansund
19 Sept
Molde
1 : 2
Aalesund
16 Sept
Trygg/Lade
0 : 5
Molde
13 Sept
Ham-Kam
1 : 5
Molde
06 Sept
Molde
2 : 0
KFUM Oslo
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Start

(Away)
06 Oct
Raufoss
1 : 5
Start
02 Oct
Start
2 : 1
Brann
20 Sept
Sandefjord
3 : 0
Start
16 Sept
Vindbjart
2 : 3
Start
13 Sept
Start
2 : 0
Brann
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viking 22 17 2 3 56:20 53
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 16 2 3 53:19 50
3 Tromso 21 11 5 5 40:29 38
4 Molde 21 11 3 7 44:32 36
5 Rosenborg 21 10 3 8 39:30 33
6 Lillestrom 21 10 2 9 28:29 32
7 Brann 22 9 2 11 39:34 29
8 Fredrikstad 21 8 4 9 25:32 28
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Sandefjord 21 6 5 10 21:27 23
12 Valerenga 21 6 5 10 34:43 23
13 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 29:44 23
14 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 33:46 21
15 Kristiansund 21 5 4 12 21:40 19
16 Start 21 4 4 13 22:44 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)