Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Molde vs Stromsgodset

Norway Norway

NM Cup Aker Stadion, Molde
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Molde at 2.55 goals for, 1.52 against; Stromsgodset at 2.72 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Molde have won 3 to Stromsgodset's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 24, 2025, ending 1:2. The numbers (2.63 xG vs 2.06) point toward Stromsgodset. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Molde
15%
Draws
44%
Stromsgodset
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stromsgodset

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stromsgodset lately — more wins on the board than Molde.
  • Molde are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Stromsgodset arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Molde, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Molde Clean Sheet 10%
Stromsgodset Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Molde Stromsgodset
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 17
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 2.55 2.72
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2025 NM Cup
Stromsgodset vs Molde
1:2
Aug 31, 2025 Eliteserien
Stromsgodset vs Molde
3:1
Jul 19, 2025 Eliteserien
Molde vs Stromsgodset
4:1
Dec 1, 2024 Eliteserien
Stromsgodset vs Molde
1:0
Apr 1, 2024 Eliteserien
Molde vs Stromsgodset
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Molde 83 / 100
Stromsgodset 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Molde Stromsgodset

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Molde scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Stromsgodset let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Molde remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Molde VS Stromsgodset
4.25 Goals Scored 2.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Molde

(Home)
19 Sept
Molde
1 : 2
Aalesund
16 Sept
Trygg/Lade
0 : 5
Molde
13 Sept
Ham-Kam
1 : 5
Molde
06 Sept
Molde
2 : 0
KFUM Oslo
30 Aug
Valerenga
3 : 4
Molde
Page 1 of 6

Stromsgodset

(Away)
20 Sept
Raufoss
0 : 2
Stromsgodset
13 Sept
Stromsgodset
4 : 1
Sandnes Ulf
08 Sept
Asker
1 : 4
Stromsgodset
05 Sept
Odds BK
1 : 1
Stromsgodset
30 Aug
Sogndal
2 : 3
Stromsgodset
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Baerum 4
Mjondalen 0
Aurskog/Finstadbru 0
Lillestrom 3
Froya 0
Sotra 6
Fjora 0
Sogndal 8
Tynset 0
Trygg/Lade 3
Midsund 0
Molde 11
Asker 7
Kvik Halden 0
Modum 0
Stromsgodset 6
Fram 1
Jerv 2
Vag 2
Egersund 5
Fana 1
Bjarg 3
Rosseland 0
Bryne 3
Volda 2
Brattvag 6
Tronder-Lyn 0
Kristiansund 5
Floro 2
Forde 4
Langevag 0
Aalesund 13
Froland 1
Arendal 5
Varhaug 2
Sandnes Ulf 3
Stalkam 2
Rana FK 3
Fauske Sprint 0
Bodo/Glimt 5
Askoy 1
Sandviken 2
Arna-Bjornar 0
Asane 1
Rollon 0
Traeff 7
Spjelkavik 1
Hodd 2
Strindheim 0
Levanger 8
Steinkjer 0
Ranheim 6
Melhus 0
Stjordals Blink 3
Eidsvold IF 1
Fredrikstad 7
Madla IL 3
Vidar 2
Brodd 1
Viking 3
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Honefoss 4
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 4
Elverum 7
Ull/Kisa 6
Ridabu 0
Raufoss 4
Vindbjart 2
Flekkeroy 1
Flekkefjord 1
Start 2
Bossekop 1
Alta 2
Ulfstind 0
Tromso 5
Nord 0
Djerv 1919 4
V. Haugesund 3
Haugesund 4
Assiden 0
Notodden 4
Teie 0
Odds BK 10
Flint 2
Orn 0
Eidanger 0
Sandefjord 15
Uradd 0
Pors 3
Heming 0
Stabaek 2
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Eidsvold TF 7
Skreia 2
Kongsvinger 14
Harstad 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 1
Lillehammer 2
Strommen 4
Gamle Oslo 6
Drobak-Frogn 1
Grei 0
Lyn 4
Floya 5
Junkeren 3
Nationalkameratene 0
Rosenborg 9
Frigg 0
Kjelsas 4
Trysil 0
Ham-Kam 5
Lokomotiv Oslo 1
Grorud 5
Lorenskog 0
Moss 3
OS TF 2
Lysekloster 0
Fyllingen 0
Brann 4
Rade 1
Follo 2
Sparta Sarpsborg 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
Nordstrand 1
Skeid 4
Christiania BK 2
Valerenga 7
1/32-finals
Baerum -
Lillestrom -
Sotra 1
Sogndal 2
Trygg/Lade 0
Molde 5
Asker 1
Stromsgodset 4
Jerv 1
Egersund 2
Bjarg 1
Bryne 4
Brattvag 1
Kristiansund 2
Forde 3
Aalesund 4
Arendal 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
Rana FK -
Bodo/Glimt -
Sandviken 2
Asane 3
Traeff 0
Hodd 3
Levanger 0
Ranheim 2
Stjordals Blink 0
Fredrikstad 1
Madla IL -
Viking -
Honefoss -
KFUM Oslo -
Elverum 0
Raufoss 3
Vindbjart 2
Start 3
Alta 1
Tromso 2
Djerv 1919 0
Haugesund 4
Notodden 2
Odds BK 3
Flint -
Sandefjord -
Pors 2
Stabaek 1
Eidsvold TF 2
Kongsvinger 3
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 9
Strommen 1
Gamle Oslo 1
Lyn 3
Floya 1
Rosenborg 4
Kjelsas 0
Ham-Kam 2
Grorud 2
Moss 1
OS TF 1
Brann 2
Follo -
Sarpsborg 08 -
Skeid 1
Valerenga 4
1/16-finals
TBD -
Sogndal -
Molde -
Stromsgodset -
Egersund -
Bryne -
Kristiansund -
Aalesund -
Sandnes Ulf -
TBD -
Asane -
Hodd -
Ranheim -
Fredrikstad -
TBD -
TBD -
Raufoss -
Start -
Tromso -
Haugesund -
Odds BK -
TBD -
Pors -
Kongsvinger -
Tromsdalen (TUIL) -
Lyn -
Rosenborg -
Ham-Kam -
Grorud -
Brann -
TBD -
Valerenga -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -