Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Molde vs Tromso

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Aker Stadion, Molde
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Molde host Tromso in the Eliteserien. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Molde at 1.81 goals for, 1.44 against; Tromso at 1.8 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Molde slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 2.31, favoring Tromso. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Molde
20%
Draws
51%
Tromso
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tromso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Tromso have won more games recently than Molde.
  • Tromso are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Molde Clean Sheet 10%
Tromso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Molde Tromso
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.81 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.44 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Molde
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 Eliteserien
Molde vs Tromso
2:0
Jul 5, 2025 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Molde
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Eliteserien
Molde vs Tromso
5:3
Jun 28, 2024 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Molde
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Molde 26 / 100
Tromso 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Molde Tromso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tromso Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Molde scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Molde remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Tromso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Molde VS Tromso
2.38 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Molde

(Home)
02 Aug
Molde
3 : 3
Sarpsborg 08
26 Jul
KFUM Oslo
2 : 4
Molde
18 Jul
Molde
1 : 2
Brann
11 Jul
Aalesund
2 : 2
Molde
05 Jul
Rosenborg
2 : 1
Molde
Page 1 of 6

Tromso

(Away)
06 Aug
CFR Cluj
0 : 5
Tromso
02 Aug
Aalesund
2 : 6
Tromso
30 Jul
Hradec Kralove
3 : 1
Tromso
23 Jul
Tromso
0 : 1
Hradec Kralove
18 Jul
Ham-Kam
1 : 4
Tromso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodo/Glimt 16 12 2 2 41:11 38
2 Viking 15 12 1 2 37:14 37
3 Tromso 16 10 4 2 32:17 34
4 Lillestrom 15 8 1 6 22:18 25
5 Molde 15 7 3 5 28:22 24
6 Brann 16 7 1 8 33:27 22
7 Sarpsborg 08 15 6 4 5 18:19 22
8 Ham-Kam 15 6 3 6 23:26 21
9 Valerenga 15 6 2 7 22:27 20
10 Rosenborg 15 5 3 7 21:21 18
11 KFUM Oslo 16 5 3 8 18:26 18
12 Fredrikstad 15 5 2 8 16:27 17
13 Sandefjord 16 4 3 9 13:22 15
14 Aalesund 15 2 7 6 21:35 13
15 Kristiansund 15 3 3 9 13:25 12
16 Start 16 2 4 10 16:37 10
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)