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Molde W vs Valerenga W Prediction & H2H Stats

Norway Norway

Toppserien Women Aker Stadion, Molde
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Match Events

16' Event
Arnesen R.
Assist: Preus M.
31'
Bersas M.
51' Event
Brekken S.

AI Match Summary

The Toppserien Women game between Molde W and Valerenga W finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valerenga W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Molde W
15%
Draws
64%
Valerenga W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valerenga W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Valerenga W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Valerenga W taking it.
  • Regular Toppserien Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Molde W Clean Sheet 10%
Valerenga W Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Molde W Valerenga W
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 11 22
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.62 2.67
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.73 1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Toppserien Women
Molde W vs Valerenga W
0:4
May 15, 2026 Toppserien Women
Valerenga W vs Molde W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Molde W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.56
Avg xA / game 0.36

Valerenga W Compare

Top Goalscorer Arnesen R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brekken S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Molde W 10 / 100
Valerenga W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Molde W Valerenga W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valerenga W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Molde W's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Valerenga W has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Molde W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Molde W VS Valerenga W
0.71 Goals Scored 2.13
1.57 Goals Conceded 0.75
57% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Molde W

(Home)
26 Sept
Molde W
0 : 4
Valerenga W
20 Sept
Aalesund W
4 : 1
Molde W
13 Sept
Molde W
0 : 1
Honefoss W
22 Aug
Molde W
1 : 0
LSK Kvinner W
15 Aug
Roa W
1 : 1
Molde W
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Valerenga W

(Away)
26 Sept
Molde W
0 : 4
Valerenga W
23 Sept
Feyenoord W
4 : 1
Valerenga W
17 Sept
Valerenga W
2 : 1
Haugesund W
11 Sept
Roa W
3 : 6
Valerenga W
02 Sept
Valerenga W
7 : 1
Radomlje W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brann W 17 15 2 0 53:4 47
2 Aalesund W 17 13 2 2 42:16 41
3 Rosenborg W 17 11 4 2 32:19 37
4 Valerenga W 17 11 1 5 45:24 34
5 Stabaek W 17 7 3 7 33:20 24
6 Lyn W 17 6 5 6 30:23 23
7 Molde W 17 5 3 9 23:33 18
8 Haugesund W 17 5 3 9 22:40 18
9 LSK Kvinner W 17 4 3 10 23:33 15
10 Honefoss W 17 3 4 10 13:30 13
11 Roa W 17 2 5 10 16:36 11
12 Bodo/Glimt W 17 1 3 13 11:65 6
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)
Relegation - Toppserien Women (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 Women 2027 (Main)