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Moldova U21 vs Azerbaijan U21

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Mammadov S.
23' Event
Shafiyev S.

AI Match Summary

Azerbaijan U21 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Azerbaijan U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Moldova U21
30%
Draws
33%
Azerbaijan U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Moldova U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Moldova U21 at 0.87 per game, Azerbaijan U21 at 0.77.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Moldova U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Moldova U21 Clean Sheet 17%
Azerbaijan U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moldova U21 Azerbaijan U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 0.87 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2025 Friendly International
Moldova U21 vs Azerbaijan U21
0:2
Sep 27, 2022 Friendly International
Azerbaijan U21 vs Moldova U21
0:0
Nov 14, 2012 Friendly International
Moldova U21 vs Azerbaijan U21
1:1
May 31, 2011 Friendly International
Azerbaijan U21 vs Moldova U21
1:0
May 27, 2010 Friendly International
Moldova U21 vs Azerbaijan U21
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moldova U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Azerbaijan U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mammadov S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shafiyev S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moldova U21 39 / 100
Azerbaijan U21 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moldova U21 Azerbaijan U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moldova U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Azerbaijan U21 conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Moldova U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Moldova U21 scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Moldova U21 VS Azerbaijan U21
1 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Moldova U21

(Home)
09 Jun
Moldova U21
3 : 2
Georgia U21
04 Jun
Moldova U21
3 : 0
Malta U21
31 Mar
England U21
4 : 1
Moldova U21
26 Mar
Ireland U21
1 : 1
Moldova U21
17 Nov
Kazakhstan U21
1 : 1
Moldova U21
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Azerbaijan U21

(Away)
09 Jun
Azerbaijan U21
1 : 3
Kyrgyzstan U20
06 Jun
Azerbaijan U21
3 : 0
Bahrain U20
31 Mar
Bulgaria U21
0 : 0
Azerbaijan U21
27 Mar
Azerbaijan U21
0 : 4
Portugal U21
18 Nov
Gibraltar U21
0 : 1
Azerbaijan U21
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