Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Moldova U21 vs Ireland U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Nisporeni stadium, Nisporeni
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Gospodinov P.
22'
Devaney J.
23' Event
Lupan M.
Assist: Pascaluta C.

AI Match Summary

Ireland U21 in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ireland U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Moldova U21
35%
Draws
28%
Ireland U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Moldova U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Ireland U21 have won more games recently than Moldova U21.
  • Model gives Moldova U21 a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Moldova U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Ireland U21 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moldova U21 Ireland U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 6 11
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 0.87 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 Euro U21
Ireland U21 vs Moldova U21
1:1
Sep 4, 2025 Euro U21
Moldova U21 vs Ireland U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moldova U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lupan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ireland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Melia M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moldova U21 67 / 100
Ireland U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moldova U21 Ireland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moldova U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ireland U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Moldova U21 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Moldova U21 scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Moldova U21 VS Ireland U21
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Moldova U21

(Home)
09 Jun
Moldova U21
3 : 2
Georgia U21
04 Jun
Moldova U21
3 : 0
Malta U21
31 Mar
England U21
4 : 1
Moldova U21
26 Mar
Ireland U21
1 : 1
Moldova U21
17 Nov
Kazakhstan U21
1 : 1
Moldova U21
Page 1 of 6

Ireland U21

(Away)
09 Jun
Ireland U21
0 : 0
Qatar U23
06 Jun
Croatia U21
2 : 2
Ireland U21
31 Mar
Kazakhstan U21
0 : 1
Ireland U21
26 Mar
Ireland U21
1 : 1
Moldova U21
18 Nov
Andorra U21
4 : 0
Ireland U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 7 7 0 0 26:2 21
2 Finland U21 7 5 1 1 26:2 16
3 Romania U21 7 4 1 2 8:4 13
4 Kosovo U21 7 2 2 3 12:6 8
5 Cyprus U21 7 1 0 6 5:24 3
6 San Marino U21 7 0 0 7 0:39 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 7 6 1 0 28:0 19
2 Czech Republic U21 7 4 2 1 15:3 14
3 Scotland U21 8 3 2 3 18:10 11
4 Bulgaria U21 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
5 Azerbaijan U21 7 1 3 3 5:18 6
6 Gibraltar U21 8 0 0 8 1:37 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 6 5 1 0 21:4 16
2 Switzerland U21 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
3 Iceland U21 7 3 2 2 14:9 11
4 Faroe Islands U21 7 3 0 4 6:13 9
5 Luxembourg U21 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
6 Estonia U21 7 0 2 5 8:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 7 6 1 0 18:2 19
2 Slovakia U21 7 5 1 1 15:10 16
3 Ireland U21 7 3 2 2 7:10 11
4 Andorra U21 8 2 1 5 6:10 7
5 Moldova U21 8 1 2 5 9:17 5
6 Kazakhstan U21 7 1 1 5 4:10 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U21 8 8 0 0 23:2 24
2 Italy U21 8 7 0 1 25:5 21
3 Montenegro U21 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
4 Sweden U21 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
5 North Macedonia U21 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
6 Armenia U21 8 0 0 8 4:23 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 7 6 0 1 22:4 18
2 Greece U21 7 6 0 1 21:4 18
3 Northern Ireland U21 7 3 1 3 8:11 10
4 Georgia U21 7 2 3 2 12:9 9
5 Latvia U21 7 1 2 4 4:12 5
6 Malta U21 7 0 0 7 1:28 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 5 4 0 1 12:4 12
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 6 1 4 1 2:1 7
3 Israel U21 6 1 4 1 6:7 7
4 Netherlands U21 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
5 Slovenia U21 6 1 2 3 3:10 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 5 4 1 0 11:1 13
2 Turkey U21 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
3 Ukraine U21 6 2 2 2 10:7 8
4 Hungary U21 5 0 3 2 6:9 3
5 Lithuania U21 6 0 2 4 3:14 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 5 3 1 1 11:2 10
2 Austria U21 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
3 Denmark U21 5 3 1 1 12:5 10
4 Wales U21 6 2 0 4 6:20 6
5 Belarus U21 6 1 1 4 7:9 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)