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Moldova U21 vs Kosovo U21

World World

Friendly International 2025 Cornelia Sportcomplex, Belek
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Gashi M.
45'
46'

AI Match Summary

Kosovo U21 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kosovo U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Moldova U21
30%
Draws
8%
Kosovo U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Moldova U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Kosovo U21 have won more games recently than Moldova U21.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Moldova U21 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Moldova U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Kosovo U21 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moldova U21 Kosovo U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.87 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2025 Friendly International
Moldova U21 vs Kosovo U21
1:2
Mar 24, 2023 Friendly International
Moldova U21 vs Kosovo U21
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moldova U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Kosovo U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gashi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krasniqi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moldova U21 95 / 100
Kosovo U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moldova U21 Kosovo U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moldova U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kosovo U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Moldova U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Kosovo U21 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Moldova U21 VS Kosovo U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Moldova U21

(Home)
09 Jun
Moldova U21
3 : 2
Georgia U21
04 Jun
Moldova U21
3 : 0
Malta U21
31 Mar
England U21
4 : 1
Moldova U21
26 Mar
Ireland U21
1 : 1
Moldova U21
17 Nov
Kazakhstan U21
1 : 1
Moldova U21
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Kosovo U21

(Away)
26 Aug
Kosovo U21
0 : 3
Italy U18
24 Aug
Albania U21
3 : 1
Kosovo U21
22 Aug
Algeria U21
2 : 1
Kosovo U21
06 Jun
Kosovo U21
0 : 0
Luxembourg U21
03 Jun
Turkey U21
1 : 0
Kosovo U21
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