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Molfetta Calcio vs A.C.D. Nardo Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2022/2023
Molfetta Calcio Logo

Molfetta Calcio

0 - 2
FT
A.C.D. Nardo Logo

A.C.D. Nardo

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Dambros L.
62' Event
Gjonaj E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A.C.D. Nardo in this Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored A.C.D. Nardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Molfetta Calcio
20%
Draws
36%
A.C.D. Nardo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Molfetta Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • A.C.D. Nardo have won more games recently than Molfetta Calcio.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Molfetta Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
A.C.D. Nardo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Molfetta Calcio A.C.D. Nardo
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 8 16
Draws 8 13
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.06 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.35 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Molfetta Calcio vs A.C.D. Nardo
0:2
Sep 28, 2022 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Molfetta Calcio
0:0
May 22, 2022 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Molfetta Calcio
5:4
Jan 23, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Molfetta Calcio vs A.C.D. Nardo
5:0
May 23, 2021 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs Molfetta Calcio
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Molfetta Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

A.C.D. Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Dambros L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gjonaj E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Molfetta Calcio 41 / 100
A.C.D. Nardo 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Molfetta Calcio A.C.D. Nardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molfetta Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Molfetta Calcio found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

A.C.D. Nardo has conceded goals in 47% of their last 36 outings.

Recent resilience: Molfetta Calcio stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS A.C.D. Nardo
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Molfetta Calcio

(Home)
10 Aug
Molfetta Calcio
2 : 1
Barletta
14 May
Gravina
3 : 1
Molfetta Calcio
07 May
Molfetta Calcio
0 : 2
Afragolese
30 Apr
Altamura
2 : 1
Molfetta Calcio
23 Apr
Molfetta Calcio
1 : 0
Nocerina
Page 1 of 7

A.C.D. Nardo

(Away)
27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3
Martina Calcio
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0
Melfi
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
06 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 2
Bisceglie
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brindisi 34 20 9 5 59:27 69
2 Cavese 34 20 9 5 66:35 69
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 18 11 5 51:26 65
4 Barletta 34 17 13 4 42:29 64
5 Casarano 34 13 18 3 46:32 57
6 Altamura 34 15 11 8 51:37 56
7 Matera 34 13 11 10 53:46 50
8 Martina Calcio 34 11 12 11 40:43 45
9 Citta di Fasano 34 11 11 12 43:43 44
10 Bitonto 34 11 10 13 45:51 43
11 Afragolese 34 8 15 11 41:45 39
12 San Felice Gladiator 34 8 13 13 42:55 37
13 Nocerina 34 9 9 16 40:51 36
14 Gravina 34 7 15 12 29:41 36
15 Molfetta Calcio 34 7 11 16 40:50 32
16 Francavilla 34 7 9 18 38:51 30
17 Lavello 34 7 5 22 31:68 26
18 Puteolana Internapoli 34 3 10 21 32:59 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Out)