Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 game between Molina and Base Abaran finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Base Abaran
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Molina carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Molina's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Molina have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Molina Clean Sheet 16%
Base Abaran Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Molina | Base Abaran |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.92 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molina vs Base Abaran
2:0
Oct 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Base Abaran vs Molina
0:1
May 1, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molina vs Base Abaran
1:1
Dec 12, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Base Abaran vs Molina
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Molina 41 / 100
Base Abaran 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Molina Base Abaran
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Base Abaran conceded in 94% of 31 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Molina scored in 64% of their last 36 outings.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Molina has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Molina VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Molina
(Home) 04 Aug
Ciudad Cieza
3 : 1 Molina
14 May
Yeclano
1 : 1 Molina
09 May
Molina
1 : 2 Futbol Club Jumilla
03 May
Molina
0 : 5 E.G. El Palmar
26 Apr
Club Edeco Fortuna
0 : 3 Molina
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09 May
Molina
1 : 2 Futbol Club Jumilla
03 May
Molina
0 : 5 E.G. El Palmar
19 Apr
Molina
1 : 1 EF Alhama
29 Mar
Molina
1 : 3 Huercal-Overa CF
15 Mar
Molina
0 : 0 Ciudad Cieza
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Base Abaran
(Away) 13 May
Aguilas FC
7 : 3 Base Abaran
06 May
Base Abaran
3 : 3 Ciudad Cieza
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 2 Base Abaran
22 Apr
Base Abaran
2 : 2 Club Edeco Fortuna
15 Apr
Plus Ultra
3 : 2 Base Abaran
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13 May
Aguilas FC
7 : 3 Base Abaran
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 2 Base Abaran
15 Apr
Plus Ultra
3 : 2 Base Abaran
01 Apr
Deportiva Minera
1 : 1 Base Abaran
21 Mar
EF Esperanza
3 : 0 Base Abaran
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCAM Murcia | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 81:22 | 86 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 69:18 | 84 |
| 3 | Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC | 38 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 85:28 | 83 |
| 4 | Cartagena La Union | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 72:36 | 81 |
| 5 | Ciudad Cieza | 38 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 74:28 | 80 |
| 6 | Bala Azul | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 59:45 | 66 |
| 7 | Lorca FC | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 58:51 | 60 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:42 | 57 |
| 9 | Molina | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 60:45 | 53 |
| 10 | Pinatar | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 50:51 | 52 |
| 11 | Club Edeco Fortuna | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 39:57 | 52 |
| 12 | Plus Ultra | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 44:57 | 48 |
| 13 | Santomera | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 43:57 | 45 |
| 14 | Cartagena FC UCAM | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:61 | 43 |
| 15 | Moratalla | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44:69 | 41 |
| 16 | Calasparra FC | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 45:64 | 41 |
| 17 | Base Abaran | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 28:47 | 36 |
| 18 | FC Puente Tocinos | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 42:85 | 33 |
| 19 | Beniel | 38 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 32:93 | 15 |
| 20 | Lorca Deportiva | 38 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 7:72 | 8 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
