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Molinense vs Bala Azul

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Martinez F.
72' Event
Lloret F.
90' Event
Serrano A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between Molinense and Bala Azul finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Molinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Molinense
30%
Draws
23%
Bala Azul
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Molinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Molinense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Molinense's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Molinense Clean Sheet 68%
Bala Azul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Molinense Bala Azul
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 9 13
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Bala Azul
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Molinense
0:0
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Bala Azul
1:1
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Molinense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Molinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Serrano A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bala Azul Compare

Top Goalscorer Lloret F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Molinense 86 / 100
Bala Azul 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Molinense Bala Azul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molinense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Molinense scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Bala Azul let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Molinense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Molinense VS Bala Azul
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Molinense

(Home)
13 Sept
Molinense
2 : 2
San Javier
06 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 4
Molinense
24 May
Molinense
0 : 2
Club Olimpico de Totana
17 May
Club Olimpico de Totana
0 : 0
Molinense
10 May
Real Murcia B
0 : 2
Molinense
Page 1 of 7

Bala Azul

(Away)
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0
Mazarron FC
06 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
2 : 2
Bala Azul
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4
Caravaca
02 May
Ciudad Cieza
3 : 1
Bala Azul
26 Apr
Bala Azul
3 : 4
Muleno CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)