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Molinense vs Mazarron FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
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Match Events

15' Event
Garcia A.
24' Event
Martinez F.
42'
Guerrero Y.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 game between Molinense and Mazarron FC finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Molinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Molinense
30%
Draws
8%
Mazarron FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Molinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Molinense come out ahead of Mazarron FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Molinense a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Molinense Clean Sheet 68%
Mazarron FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Molinense Mazarron FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.43 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Mazarron FC
3:2
Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Mazarron FC vs Molinense
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Mazarron FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Molinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzales Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Mazarron FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Molinense 77 / 100
Mazarron FC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Molinense Mazarron FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molinense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Molinense found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Mazarron FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Molinense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Molinense VS Mazarron FC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Molinense

(Home)
04 Oct
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Molinense
27 Sept
Molinense
3 : 2
Mazarron FC
20 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 0
Molinense
13 Sept
Molinense
2 : 2
San Javier
06 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 4
Molinense
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Mazarron FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Mazarron FC
0 : 1
Minerva
27 Sept
Molinense
3 : 2
Mazarron FC
20 Sept
Mazarron FC
2 : 2
Santa Cruz
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0
Mazarron FC
06 Sept
Mazarron FC
1 : 2
Cotillas CD
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 6 5 1 0 14:6 16
2 Molinense 6 3 2 1 13:8 11
3 San Javier 5 3 2 0 8:5 11
4 Santa Cruz 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
5 Alcantarilla 6 2 3 1 5:5 9
6 CA Pulpileno 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
7 Club Olimpico de Totana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 Minerva 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
9 Bala Azul 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
10 FC Cartagena SAD B 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
11 Cotillas CD 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
12 UCAM Murcia B 5 1 2 2 8:6 5
13 Bullas Deportivo 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
14 Aguilas FC B 5 0 5 0 5:5 5
15 UD Los Garres 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
16 CD Algar 5 1 0 4 3:10 3
17 Deportivo Maritimo 5 1 0 4 2:10 3
18 Mazarron FC 5 0 1 4 5:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)