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Molinense vs San Javier Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Perez D.
60' Event
Carrasco A.
62' Event
Cortado S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Molinense
33%
Draws
39%
San Javier
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: San Javier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Molinense lately — more wins on the board than San Javier.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Molinense Clean Sheet 68%
San Javier Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Molinense San Javier
Matches Played 28 4
Wins 13 2
Draws 7 2
Losses 8 0
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs San Javier
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Molinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrasco A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hernandez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49

San Javier Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Molinense 41 / 100
San Javier 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Molinense San Javier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molinense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Molinense found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: San Javier conceded in 75% of 4 recent games.

Molinense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Molinense VS San Javier
1.13 Goals Scored 1.17
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.83
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Molinense

(Home)
27 Sept
Molinense
3 : 2
Mazarron FC
20 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 0
Molinense
13 Sept
Molinense
2 : 2
San Javier
06 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 4
Molinense
24 May
Molinense
0 : 2
Club Olimpico de Totana
Page 1 of 6

San Javier

(Away)
27 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1
San Javier
20 Sept
San Javier
1 : 0
Minerva
13 Sept
Molinense
2 : 2
San Javier
06 Sept
San Javier
3 : 2
Santa Cruz

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
2 CA Pulpileno 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
3 Alcantarilla 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
4 San Javier 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
5 Molinense 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
6 UCAM Murcia B 4 1 2 1 8:5 5
7 Bullas Deportivo 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
8 Santa Cruz 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
9 Club Olimpico de Totana 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
10 UD Los Garres 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
11 Bala Azul 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
12 Minerva 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
13 FC Cartagena SAD B 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
14 Aguilas FC B 4 0 4 0 4:4 4
15 Cotillas CD 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
16 Deportivo Maritimo 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
17 Mazarron FC 4 0 1 3 5:8 1
18 CD Algar 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)