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Mollerussa vs Peralada - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mollerussa host Peralada in the Tercera RFEF - Group 5. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Mollerussa have averaged 1.04 scored and 1.04 conceded recently, against Peralada's 1.41 scored and 1.11 conceded. Head-to-head, Mollerussa have won 2 to Peralada's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 1.19, favoring Mollerussa. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Mollerussa
30%
Draws
37%
Peralada
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Peralada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mollerussa come out ahead of Peralada on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Mollerussa Clean Sheet 20%
Peralada Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mollerussa Peralada
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 11
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.04 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs Mollerussa
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Mollerussa vs Peralada
1:2
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs Mollerussa
2:3
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Mollerussa vs Peralada
4:3
May 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Mollerussa vs Peralada
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mollerussa 36 / 100
Peralada 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mollerussa Peralada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peralada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Peralada has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Mollerussa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Mollerussa scored in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mollerussa VS Peralada
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mollerussa

(Home)
27 Sept
Mollerussa
1 : 1
Cornella
20 Sept
CE Atletic Lleida
1 : 0
Mollerussa
13 Sept
Mollerussa
0 : 1
CF Vilanova
05 Sept
UE Tona
0 : 1
Mollerussa
10 May
CE Europa B
0 : 3
Mollerussa
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Peralada

(Away)
27 Sept
Peralada
3 : 0
CE Atletic Lleida
19 Sept
CF Vilanova
1 : 1
Peralada
13 Sept
Peralada
0 : 1
UE Tona
06 Sept
San Cristobal CP
1 : 1
Peralada
10 May
Peralada
5 : 0
Montanesa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Badalona 5 3 0 2 10:4 9
2 Montanesa 4 3 0 1 5:1 9
3 CE Europa B 5 2 2 1 10:6 8
4 CF Vilanova 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
5 FE Grama 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
6 Pobla Mafumet 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
7 L Hospitalet 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
8 Cornella 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
9 FC Lescala 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
10 San Juan Atletico de Montcada 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
11 Peralada 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
12 FC Martinenc 4 1 2 1 8:8 5
13 Cerdanyola del Valles 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
14 CE Atletic Lleida 5 1 2 2 4:8 5
15 Mollerussa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
16 San Cristobal CP 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
17 UE Tona 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
18 Vilassar de Mar 5 1 0 4 3:13 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 (Play Offs)