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Molodechno vs FC Slonim

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Molodechno Haradzki Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Molodechno play FC Slonim in the Pershaya Liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Molodechno averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. FC Slonim averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Molodechno won 4, FC Slonim won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Molodechno and 2.63 for FC Slonim. This points to a FC Slonim double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Molodechno
15%
Draws
46%
FC Slonim
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Slonim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Molodechno picked up more points recently compared to FC Slonim.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 2.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Molodechno Clean Sheet 10%
FC Slonim Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Molodechno FC Slonim
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 2 3
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.16 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Molodechno vs FC Slonim
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Molodechno vs FC Slonim
2:1
May 18, 2024 Pershaya Liga
FC Slonim vs Molodechno
2:3
Aug 20, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Molodechno vs FC Slonim
1:0
Apr 14, 2023 Pershaya Liga
FC Slonim vs Molodechno
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Molodechno Compare

Top Goalscorer Sokolovskiy M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

FC Slonim Compare

Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Molodechno 37 / 100
FC Slonim 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Molodechno FC Slonim

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Slonim or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Molodechno attacking → ← attacking FC Slonim

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Molodechno scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

FC Slonim let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Molodechno went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FC Slonim lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 42
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Slutsk15112232:1635
2SKA-1938 Minsk15104137:1634
3FK Lida1583427:2327
4FC Slonim1583428:1727
5Niva Dolbizno1583435:1827
6Din. Minsk 21473429:2024
7Volna Pinsk1472523:2123
8BumProm Gomel1472529:2023
9Soligorsk1464429:1822
10Molodechno1561821:3119
11FC Gomel 21444622:2016
12FC Minsk 21551918:3116
13Orsha1443715:2515
14Ostrovets1529418:2115
15Uni X Labs1543813:2415
16Smorgon1535718:2414
17BATE 21525820:3711
18Osipovichi15111315:474