Sport Picks

Estonia

Estonian Cup 2016/2017

Tallinna Kalev

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Molycorp Silmet play Tallinna Kalev in the Estonian Cup 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Molycorp Silmet averaged 2.4 goals scored and 3.2 conceded. Tallinna Kalev averaged 2.19 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. In past meetings, Molycorp Silmet won 0, Tallinna Kalev won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 15, 2016 ended 0:11. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.92 for Molycorp Silmet and 1.24 for Tallinna Kalev. This points to a Molycorp Silmet double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Molycorp Silmet

15%

Draws

42%

Tallinna Kalev

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Molycorp Silmet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Molycorp Silmet picked up more points recently compared to Tallinna Kalev.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.92 vs 1.24 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 83%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

Molycorp Silmet Clean Sheet 19%

Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 90%

Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Molycorp Silmet	Tallinna Kalev
Matches Played	10	31
Wins	6	13
Draws	0	4
Losses	4	14
Goals Scored	2.4	2.19
Goals Conceded	3.2	2.23

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2016 Estonian Cup

Molycorp Silmet vs Tallinna Kalev

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

0:11

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Molycorp Silmet Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Tallinna Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Wahl G.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Paal I.

3 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Molycorp Silmet 43 / 100

Tallinna Kalev 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Molycorp Silmet Tallinna Kalev

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Molycorp Silmet or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.9%

1.30

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Molycorp Silmet attacking → ← attacking Tallinna Kalev

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Molycorp Silmet scored in 78% of their last 9 games.

Tallinna Kalev let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 11.00 goals.

Molycorp Silmet went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Tallinna Kalev lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 43

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63