Sport Picks
Mombasa United vs APS Bomet - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kenya
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
Mombasa United host APS Bomet in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. APS Bomet have shipped 0.92 goals a game lately, while Mombasa United have conceded 0.8 and scored 1.2. Past meetings favor APS Bomet slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.56 vs 0.56, favoring Mombasa United. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Mombasa United come out ahead of APS Bomet on wins alone.
- Win probability leans APS Bomet's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mombasa United | APS Bomet |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 26 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.15 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 0.92 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mombasa United scored in 68% of their last 25 games.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
APS Bomet let in goals in 58% of their last 26 matches.
Recent resilience: Mombasa United stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Mombasa United
(Home)APS Bomet
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 12 |
| 2 | KCB | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Muranga | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | 6 |
| 4 | Mara Sugar | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 5 | Leopards | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 6 | APS Bomet | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 7 | Shabana | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:0 | 5 |
| 8 | 3K FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 9 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 10 | Posta Rangers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 4 |
| 11 | Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 12 | Nairobi United | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 13 | Bandari | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 14 | Migori | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 15 | Police FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 16 | Mathare United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | 2 |
| 17 | Ulinzi Stars | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | 2 |
| 18 | Mombasa United | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
