Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Mombasa United in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mombasa United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mombasa United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mombasa United have won more games recently than Kisumu All-Stars.
- Mombasa United are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Mombasa United Clean Sheet 68%
Kisumu All-Stars Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mombasa United | Kisumu All-Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 19 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 0.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2026 Super League
Mombasa United vs Kisumu All-Stars
4:0
Nov 15, 2025 Super League
Kisumu All-Stars vs Mombasa United
2:0
Apr 30, 2025 Super League
Mombasa United vs Kisumu All-Stars
0:1
Jan 12, 2025 Super League
Kisumu All-Stars vs Mombasa United
0:0
Mar 3, 2024 Super League
Mombasa United vs Kisumu All-Stars
1:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mombasa United 50 / 100
Kisumu All-Stars 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mombasa United Kisumu All-Stars
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MOM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mombasa United found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Kisumu All-Stars conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Mombasa United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mombasa United VS Kisumu All-Stars
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Mombasa United
(Home) 13 Jun
Naivas FC
1 : 1 Mombasa United
07 Jun
Mombasa United
1 : 0 Nzoia Sugar
01 Jun
Luanda Villa
1 : 0 Mombasa United
27 May
Mombasa United
0 : 0 3K FC
24 May
Mwatate United
0 : 1 Mombasa United
Page 1 of 6
07 Jun
Mombasa United
1 : 0 Nzoia Sugar
27 May
Mombasa United
0 : 0 3K FC
17 May
Mombasa United
2 : 1 Nairobi City Stars
03 May
Mombasa United
0 : 0 Migori
19 Apr
Mombasa United
1 : 0 Soy United
Page 1 of 3
Kisumu All-Stars
(Away) 13 Jun
Kisumu All-Stars
1 : 0 Vihiga United
07 Jun
Darajani Gogo
2 : 1 Kisumu All-Stars
01 Jun
Kisumu All-Stars
0 : 1 Migori
28 May
Soy United
0 : 0 Kisumu All-Stars
24 May
Kisumu All-Stars
1 : 0 MOFA
Page 1 of 7
07 Jun
Darajani Gogo
2 : 1 Kisumu All-Stars
28 May
Soy United
0 : 0 Kisumu All-Stars
17 May
Equity Bank
0 : 0 Kisumu All-Stars
01 May
Naivas FC
4 : 0 Kisumu All-Stars
19 Apr
Fortune Sacco
2 : 1 Kisumu All-Stars
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Migori | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 57:29 | 81 |
| 2 | 3K FC | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 62:26 | 77 |
| 3 | Mombasa United | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 51:32 | 76 |
| 4 | Equity Bank | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 56:28 | 74 |
| 5 | MOFA | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 51:30 | 64 |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61:41 | 63 |
| 7 | Naivas FC | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:30 | 61 |
| 8 | Talanta FC | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:41 | 57 |
| 9 | Kibera | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 32:33 | 53 |
| 10 | Soy United | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 31:27 | 52 |
| 11 | Nzoia Sugar | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:36 | 50 |
| 12 | Gucha Stars | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 35:41 | 44 |
| 13 | Luanda Villa | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 30:51 | 43 |
| 14 | Kabati | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 32:52 | 39 |
| 15 | Kisumu All-Stars | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 23:47 | 39 |
| 16 | Nairobi City Stars | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 32:44 | 39 |
| 17 | Darajani Gogo | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 27:48 | 38 |
| 18 | MCF | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 24:42 | 34 |
| 19 | Vihiga United | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29:55 | 30 |
| 20 | Mwatate United | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 27:64 | 25 |
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)
