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Mombasa United vs MOFA

Kenya Kenya

Super League
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AI Match Summary

Mombasa United in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mombasa United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mombasa United
33%
Draws
27%
MOFA
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mombasa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • MOFA haven't matched Mombasa United's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Mombasa United's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Mombasa United Clean Sheet 68%
MOFA Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mombasa United MOFA
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 13
Draws 3 13
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Super League
Mombasa United vs MOFA
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 Super League
MOFA vs Mombasa United
4:0
Mar 22, 2025 Super League
MOFA vs Mombasa United
1:0
Feb 9, 2025 Super League
Mombasa United vs MOFA
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mombasa United 50 / 100
MOFA 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mombasa United MOFA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mombasa United scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

MOFA let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Mombasa United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mombasa United VS MOFA
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mombasa United

(Home)
13 Jun
Naivas FC
1 : 1
Mombasa United
07 Jun
Mombasa United
1 : 0
Nzoia Sugar
01 Jun
Luanda Villa
1 : 0
Mombasa United
27 May
Mombasa United
0 : 0
3K FC
24 May
Mwatate United
0 : 1
Mombasa United
Page 1 of 6

MOFA

(Away)
13 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kabati
07 Jun
Soy United
0 : 0
MOFA
01 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kibera
28 May
Darajani Gogo
1 : 1
MOFA
24 May
Kisumu All-Stars
1 : 0
MOFA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Migori38256757:2981
23K FC38238762:2677
3Mombasa United382441051:3276
4Equity Bank382111656:2874
5MOFA381616651:3064
6Fortune Sacco381891161:4163
7Naivas FC3817101147:3061
8Talanta FC381691353:4157
9Kibera381581532:3353
10Soy United3814101431:2752
11Nzoia Sugar3812141237:3650
12Gucha Stars381281835:4144
13Luanda Villa381271930:5143
14Kabati381091932:5239
15Kisumu All-Stars381091923:4739
16Nairobi City Stars389121732:4439
17Darajani Gogo381082027:4838
18MCF389101924:4234
19Vihiga United38992029:5530
20Mwatate United38672527:6425
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