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Mombasa United vs MOFA Prediction & H2H Stats

Kenya Kenya

Super League
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AI Match Summary

Mombasa United in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mombasa United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Mombasa United
35%
Draws
22%
MOFA
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mombasa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • MOFA haven't matched Mombasa United's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Mombasa United Clean Sheet 68%
MOFA Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mombasa United MOFA
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 3 13
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.41 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.78 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.73 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Super League
Mombasa United vs MOFA
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 Super League
MOFA vs Mombasa United
4:0
Mar 22, 2025 Super League
MOFA vs Mombasa United
1:0
Feb 9, 2025 Super League
Mombasa United vs MOFA
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mombasa United 41 / 100
MOFA 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mombasa United MOFA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mombasa United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mombasa United scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

MOFA let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Mombasa United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mombasa United VS MOFA
0.63 Goals Scored 0.83
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.83
25% Over 1.5 67%
13% Over 2.5 17%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mombasa United

(Home)
01 Oct
Mombasa United
2 : 1
Kariobangi Sharks
13 Jun
Naivas FC
1 : 1
Mombasa United
07 Jun
Mombasa United
1 : 0
Nzoia Sugar
01 Jun
Luanda Villa
1 : 0
Mombasa United
27 May
Mombasa United
0 : 0
3K FC
Page 1 of 6

MOFA

(Away)
13 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kabati
07 Jun
Soy United
0 : 0
MOFA
01 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kibera
28 May
Darajani Gogo
1 : 1
MOFA
24 May
Kisumu All-Stars
1 : 0
MOFA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)
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