Sport Picks
Mombasa United vs Shabana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kenya
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
Mombasa United host Shabana in the Premier League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Mombasa United at 1.33 goals for, 0.67 against; Shabana at 0.92 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Shabana slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 9, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.38 vs 0.26, favoring Mombasa United. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Mombasa United have won more games recently than Shabana.
- Mombasa United are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Shabana have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mombasa United | Shabana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 21 | 24 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 0.92 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.67 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Mombasa United scored in 71% of their last 21 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Mombasa United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Shabana has conceded goals in 46% of their last 24 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Mombasa United
(Home)Shabana
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mathare United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ulinzi Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Tusker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mahia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Leopards | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | KCB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Posta Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Bandari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Police FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Migori | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Shabana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | APS Bomet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Muranga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Mombasa United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Mara Sugar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 | Nairobi United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 | 3K FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
